NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	117		Excitement	9.1 [131]		MVP	Lou Williams (LAL): +60.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	113		Comeback	3.6 [662]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -23.6%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.14	0.10	0.00	15	75%	0.28	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Steven Adams	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.12	0.01	6	71%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Russell Westbrook	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.02,0.17,-0.07,0.14,0.13	0.03	0.12	0.01	24	56%	0.45	6	-0.33	16	81%	0.04
Enes Kanter	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	10	65%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Cameron Payne	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	9	61%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	3	87%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Morrow	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	6	42%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	47%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	7	14%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.35,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.5,0.62,0.61	0.61	0.30	0.30	-0.01	25	68%	0.64	1	-0.03	15	100%	0.18
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.08	0.01	12	61%	0.17	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcelo Huertas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.05	-0.10	0.00	5	67%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.01	-0.00	7	14%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.24	-0.24	-0.03	-0.21	-0.00	20	45%	-0.18	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.7	31.2	16.5	25.5	3.3	39.3	144.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +58.7%

LAL -11.9%

OKC +18.9%

LAL -16.2%

OKC +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAL	NBA	OKC	LAL	NBA
this game	13.9	15.8	14.9	119.4	117.7	105.1
season	14.4	15.2		111.5	100.1
opponent	14.5	15.1		109.9	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.0	12.1	13.5	15.2	13.9
LAL	15.7	15.2	17.8	14.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Adams	46	45	1.28	-0.78	2.06	0.64	22	-18	40	13.8	13.9	-0.08	15.5	16.1	-0.67
Andre Roberson	30	32	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.45	10	-6	16	14.2	13.7	0.45	16.0	15.7	0.22
Anthony Morrow	42	42	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	-1	6	12.2	15.1	-2.93	15.4	16.1	-0.74
Kevin Durant	78	77	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.29	4	0	4	13.9	13.6	0.30	16.2	14.4	1.81
Dion Waiters	48	45	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	3	-2	12.7	15.1	-2.39	15.1	16.4	-1.30
Russell Westbrook	68	68	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	3	-2	14.2	13.2	1.04	16.1	15.2	0.81
Nick Collison	23	22	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	7	-10	13.7	13.9	-0.19	14.5	16.2	-1.78
Cameron Payne	51	48	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	6	-8	14.2	13.6	0.56	15.8	15.9	-0.10
Enes Kanter	48	45	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	-0.03	-12	16	-28	14.0	13.8	0.22	16.1	15.6	0.46
Serge Ibaka	56	56	-0.53	1.03	-1.56	-0.36	-6	10	-16	15.3	12.0	3.30	16.5	14.9	1.63

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcelo Huertas	35	36	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.09	6	-10	16	16.8	15.3	1.49	14.9	13.3	1.54
Julius Randle	48	49	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.11	6	-10	16	16.0	15.6	0.35	13.7	14.1	-0.47
D'Angelo Russell	16	15	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-5	6	15.7	15.8	-0.09	12.3	14.2	-1.91
Roy Hibbert	44	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.05	-6	2	-8	16.3	15.4	0.83	14.6	13.3	1.32
Larry Nance Jr.	41	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	2	-8	16.5	15.3	1.16	14.8	13.2	1.65
Anthony Brown	45	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.30	6	-10	16	15.0	16.5	-1.51	13.6	14.2	-0.57
Lou Williams	70	71	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.24	4	-8	12	15.5	16.6	-1.03	14.3	12.9	1.43
Brandon Bass	52	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-6	8	15.4	16.3	-0.83	13.3	14.6	-1.32
Kobe Bryant	58	58	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.40	-14	10	-24	15.8	15.8	0.01	13.6	14.2	-0.61
Jordan Clarkson	71	74	-1.15	0.65	-1.80	-0.59	-19	15	-34	15.6	16.3	-0.67	13.4	15.5	-2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.26,0.47,0.53,0.68,0.55,0.57,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 108, DEN 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.15,0.17,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.27,0	90.5%
BKN 114, ATL 112	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.19,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.46,0.53,0.79,0.78,0.55,0.26,0	90.5%
SAC 97, CHA 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.47,0.45,0.71,0.57,0.15,0	90.2%