NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	91		Excitement	8.7 [179]		MVP	CJ Miles (IND): +21.5%
New Orleans Pelicans	86		Comeback	3.8 [414]		LVP	Eric Gordon (NOP): -25.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21	0.09	0.11	-0.02	12	62%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.11	0.01	12	61%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Lavoy Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	87%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Myles Turner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	36%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
George Hill	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	9	35%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Rodney Stuckey	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	3	67%	0.02	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.1,-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	11	45%	0.05	6	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25	-0.11	-0.11	0.03	13	39%	-0.10	4	-0.15	7	86%	0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	19	64%	0.25	4	-0.16	4	100%	0.03
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	17	55%	0.07	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Alonzo Gee	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	9	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,-0.06,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	12	50%	0.02	3	-0.15	6	67%	-0.04
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25	-0.25	-0.07	-0.18	0.00	11	33%	-0.18	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	1.6	25.2	15.4	25.7	1.8	31.4	128.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +42.1%

NOP -5.0%

IND +33.8%

NOP -27.8%

IND +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NOP	NBA	IND	NOP	NBA
this game	15.5	13.2	14.9	90.1	86.0	105.1
season	14.6	14.3		103.2	104.3
opponent	15.0	14.9		107.9	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.0	18.7	12.8	14.1	15.5
NOP	13.0	13.2	13.9	12.6	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	68	71	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.31	10	-5	15	14.1	18.3	-4.25	13.5	12.3	1.16
Ian Mahinmi	53	52	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.38	6	-1	7	14.7	16.3	-1.56	13.8	12.5	1.37
Monta Ellis	70	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.50	-4	9	-13	15.2	16.0	-0.80	13.5	12.4	1.09
George Hill	75	74	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	-3	11	15.2	16.2	-0.91	13.0	13.7	-0.71
Glenn Robinson	32	29	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	5	-5	17.4	14.6	2.78	12.3	13.5	-1.26
CJ Miles	60	58	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.42	-5	10	-15	16.3	14.2	2.15	12.7	13.9	-1.23
Lavoy Allen	40	41	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.06	8	-3	11	14.4	16.2	-1.74	14.2	12.4	1.78
Jordan Hill	28	30	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.12	9	-4	13	14.2	16.0	-1.74	12.4	13.5	-1.10
Rodney Stuckey	58	57	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.11	1	4	-3	16.7	13.9	2.77	13.0	13.3	-0.31
Myles Turner	21	19	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.09	-8	13	-21	18.5	14.7	3.85	11.9	13.5	-1.57

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	8	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-4	3	14.6	13.0	1.58	13.6	15.6	-2.05
Alonzo Gee	1	1	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-3	1	0.0	13.3	-13.30	5.0	15.6	-10.58
Dante Cunningham	58	57	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.08	-6	1	-7	13.4	12.8	0.58	14.3	17.0	-2.78
Norris Cole	46	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	1	-7	12.8	13.5	-0.64	16.3	14.8	1.46
Omer Asik	32	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	1	-7	14.0	12.8	1.17	15.2	15.6	-0.44
Alexis Ajinca	54	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.43	8	-13	21	12.8	13.6	-0.85	15.9	15.0	0.97
Eric Gordon	72	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-6	7	13.6	12.1	1.53	15.4	15.8	-0.41
Tyreke Evans	83	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.30	-5	0	-5	13.0	13.8	-0.72	15.1	17.1	-2.01
Jrue Holiday	72	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-1	-3	12.7	14.4	-1.70	16.3	13.3	3.03
Ryan Anderson	74	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	-1	-3	13.3	12.7	0.65	15.7	14.7	1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.53,0.32,0.21,0.14,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 109, LAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.73,0.47,0.15,0.03,0.02,0	92.6%
PHI 101, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.74,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.65,0.4,0.15,0.21,0.03,0,0	92.3%
BOS 101, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.35,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.01,0	92.1%