NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	109		Excitement	8.2 [178]		MVP	Rick Fox (LAL): +14.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	104		Comeback	3.1 [144]		LVP	Steven Smith (POR): -14.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	15	63%	0.17	1	-0.04	13	77%	0.02
Shawn Kemp	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.00	5	86%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Rasheed Wallace	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	20	62%	0.07	2	-0.05	13	69%	-0.03
Scottie Pippen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.06	-0.01	7	55%	0.09	2	-0.08	8	25%	-0.10
Dale Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	46%	0.03	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Bonzi Wells	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	9	45%	-0.03	1	-0.07	4	50%	-0.06
Steven Smith	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	8	19%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.05	0.01	10	81%	0.21	2	-0.06	7	86%	-0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	5	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Penberthy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	20	54%	0.01	2	-0.10	14	79%	0.04
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.08	-0.02	20	59%	0.02	4	-0.11	14	43%	-0.20

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.8	33.0	19.4	34.6	3.6	43.1	164.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +5.4%

LAL -1.3%

POR +29.8%

POR +7.0%

POR +9.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	15.5	116.0	111.8	100.9
season	15.8	15.6		103.9	106.8
opponent	15.2	15.8		101.8	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.5	15.5	14.3	16.2	15.4
LAL	16.5	13.3	17.7	14.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	78	76	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.31	11	-6	17	15.3	15.9	-0.61	15.9	13.5	2.40
Rasheed Wallace	87	85	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.37	5	0	5	15.2	17.7	-2.53	15.6	13.9	1.70
Scottie Pippen	75	74	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.39	1	4	-3	15.4	15.2	0.20	15.7	14.3	1.40
Arvydas Sabonis	61	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.17	8	-3	11	16.0	14.2	1.79	16.1	14.2	1.94
Steven Smith	74	72	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.30	3	2	1	14.8	17.6	-2.89	15.3	15.8	-0.49
Shawn Kemp	40	41	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	1	3	16.3	14.7	1.66	14.5	16.1	-1.60
Bonzi Wells	43	44	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	6	-7	15.9	14.9	1.03	14.8	16.0	-1.12
Dale Davis	12	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.14	-6	11	-17	12.6	15.8	-3.20	12.3	15.9	-3.56

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Shaw	12	13	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.11	-2	-3	1	15.0	15.5	-0.49	17.2	15.1	2.07
Robert Horry	40	42	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-3	1	13.8	16.6	-2.77	14.2	16.3	-2.18
Mike Penberthy	29	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-3	1	13.2	16.4	-3.18	14.5	15.8	-1.24
Greg Foster	12	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	4	-13	14.1	15.6	-1.55	14.1	15.6	-1.53
Isaiah Rider	29	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	4	-13	14.7	15.7	-1.03	15.4	15.4	0.01
Ron Harper	46	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-4	3	16.9	14.0	2.93	15.7	15.1	0.62
Shaquille O'Neal	82	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-7	9	15.5	15.2	0.28	15.7	13.6	2.04
Kobe Bryant	88	89	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-6	7	15.6	13.2	2.36	15.3	16.2	-0.87
Rick Fox	68	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-5	5	15.6	15.0	0.64	15.2	15.8	-0.58
Horace Grant	59	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-2	-1	16.7	13.2	3.46	16.2	14.1	2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.73,0.47,0.15,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 91, NOP 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.53,0.32,0.21,0.14,0.09,0	92.6%
TOR 94, VAN 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.65,0.31,0.36,0.1,0.08,0	92.2%
BOS 101, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.35,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.01,0	91.8%