NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	108		Excitement	8.2 [245]		MVP	Darren Collison (SAC): +26.7%
Indiana Pacers	106		Comeback	2.3 [270]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -49.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27	0.14	0.13	0.01	17	71%	0.30	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.11	-0.01	16	56%	0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Omri Casspi	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.08	-0.01	11	62%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0.13	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13	-0.00	0.12	-0.01	19	52%	0.25	5	-0.13	10	90%	0.09
Marco Belinelli	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.00	6	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.14	-0.14	0.01	10	59%	0.06	9	-0.35	2	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.12	0.15	0.02	13	70%	0.29	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.07
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.08	0.01	15	59%	0.15	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	9	78%	0.19	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.07	-0.01	4	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
George Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	-0.00	0.02	14	67%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	8	22%	-0.10	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.49	-0.49	-0.18	-0.33	-0.02	19	29%	-0.40	3	-0.09	4	25%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	38.4	8.3	25.5	2.5	29.3	130.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +45.7%

SAC +20.4%

SAC +3.9%

IND -23.3%

SAC +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	IND	NBA	SAC	IND	NBA
this game	13.7	14.5	14.9	105.9	103.9	105.1
season	13.9	14.6		104.8	103.2
opponent	14.9	14.6		101.6	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.9	12.5	14.6	16.3	13.7
IND	13.3	15.8	13.6	15.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	73	72	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.39	13	-11	24	13.7	13.8	-0.17	15.2	13.0	2.21
Omri Casspi	87	87	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	1	0	14.2	11.0	3.17	14.6	14.3	0.31
Kosta Koufos	38	38	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.02	14	-12	26	12.7	14.3	-1.63	16.7	13.2	3.48
Marco Belinelli	43	43	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	-7	16	13.1	14.2	-1.10	15.8	13.6	2.18
Seth Curry	9	10	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	-5	12	11.4	13.9	-2.48	18.3	14.1	4.18
DeMarcus Cousins	75	76	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.39	-8	10	-18	14.3	12.0	2.32	13.7	17.0	-3.26
Rajon Rondo	81	79	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.33	-7	9	-16	13.8	13.2	0.59	13.9	16.7	-2.80
Rudy Gay	75	75	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.32	-8	10	-18	13.6	14.1	-0.50	13.7	17.0	-3.31
Ben McLemore	29	30	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.06	-11	13	-24	13.8	13.7	0.17	13.0	15.2	-2.21

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Mahinmi	60	62	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.09	10	-12	22	13.2	16.4	-3.11	14.2	12.9	1.33
Monta Ellis	80	81	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.40	13	-15	28	13.5	18.2	-4.66	13.9	12.9	1.07
CJ Miles	66	66	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.38	10	-12	22	13.5	16.4	-2.96	14.3	12.6	1.69
Lavoy Allen	23	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	6	-14	16.3	14.0	2.29	12.5	14.1	-1.59
Paul George	86	86	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.48	9	-11	20	14.3	15.8	-1.52	13.9	12.6	1.36
George Hill	82	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.48	3	-5	8	14.5	14.5	0.04	14.3	11.4	2.81
Chase Budinger	29	29	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	13	-28	16.2	13.9	2.34	12.7	14.1	-1.42
Rodney Stuckey	42	41	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.01	-20	18	-38	16.4	13.2	3.23	12.2	14.7	-2.57
Jordan Hill	42	40	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.36	-12	10	-22	16.4	13.2	3.11	12.9	14.2	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.12,0.21,0.2,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.15,0.14,0.24,0.13,0.15,0.28,0.67,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 85, ATL 82	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.45,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.31,0.36,0.22,0.28,0	90.8%
PHX 95, UTA 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.29,0.38,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.17,0.33,0.15,0	90.6%
DET 95, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.04,0	90.2%