inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 84 Excitement5.6 [706] MVPMario Chalmers (MEM): +16.1%
Memphis Grizzlies 96 Comeback1.4 [714] LVPCJ Miles (IND): -20.7%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jordan Hill0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.000.02-0.021050%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Monta Ellis0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.000.021250%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Lavoy Allen0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Solomon Hill0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joe Young0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Glenn Robinson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chase Budinger-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
George Hill-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01744%0.001-0.02450%-0.02
Ian Mahinmi-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.01550%0.042-0.06475%0.01
Rodney Stuckey-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.03-0.01758%0.053-0.09580%0.00
Paul George-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.040.002254%0.107-0.181090%0.02
CJ Miles-0.210,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.20-0.05-0.0590%-0.173-0.0400%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.010.12-0.02660%0.202-0.04875%-0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.04-0.021148%0.0800.001100%0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.010.00575%0.0800.002100%0.01
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.01-0.01475%0.0600.0000%0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.010.011850%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.010.011650%0.041-0.04887%0.02
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.001454%0.033-0.0600%0.00
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.12-0.02-0.01617%-0.063-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.62.530.415.425.42.434.3131.9
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +30.2%
MEM +4.7%
MEM +3.8%
MEM +13.0%
IND -1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDMEMNBAINDMEMNBA
this game14.216.814.990.3103.2105.1
season14.615.7103.2103.4
opponent14.814.9106.7101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND17.316.212.211.614.2
MEM14.816.516.119.716.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chase Budinger14130.02-0.520.53-0.011-131414.914.10.7819.816.33.48
Solomon Hill210.00-0.500.500.000-12126.514.4-7.8624.016.77.30
Joe Young210.00-0.500.500.000-12126.514.4-7.8624.016.77.30
Glenn Robinson32-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-12125.714.5-8.8124.016.67.38
Jordan Hill5250-0.09-0.410.32-0.06-1-111014.613.70.8716.916.60.36
Rodney Stuckey5454-0.21-0.290.08-0.18-1-111013.615.1-1.5217.615.62.08
Monta Ellis7172-0.21-0.290.08-0.12-3-9614.413.41.0316.617.5-0.91
Lavoy Allen4949-0.22-0.280.05-0.282-141614.114.3-0.2416.916.60.30
Ian Mahinmi3537-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.04-8-4-414.314.10.2416.417.0-0.57
CJ Miles4849-0.42-0.08-0.330.08-175-2214.114.3-0.1816.617.0-0.43
Paul George7879-0.520.02-0.53-0.13-131-1414.214.10.0716.220.1-3.88
George Hill5758-0.580.08-0.650.01-208-2815.012.92.1716.018.1-2.15

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Barnes76770.66-0.160.820.1318-62417.015.91.0214.014.9-0.90
Mike Conley64640.53-0.030.55-0.0018-62417.116.10.9214.214.10.18
Marc Gasol76750.390.110.290.071111017.314.42.8913.915.4-1.55
Courtney Lee60600.360.140.220.041111016.118.1-1.9914.713.31.38
Jeff Green66640.350.150.200.05102817.814.43.3913.815.0-1.17
Vince Carter45460.300.200.110.1657-215.418.1-2.7114.214.20.05
JaMychal Green17180.110.39-0.290.08111-1014.417.3-2.8915.413.91.55
Mario Chalmers35360.010.49-0.490.15-517-2216.317.1-0.7813.214.8-1.54
Zach Randolph2625-0.200.70-0.900.06-921-3017.716.41.3315.613.71.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.46,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.85,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 83, LAC 970.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,193.7%
MIL 104, CLE 1130.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,193.6%
GSW 84, SAC 990.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,0.99,1,193.5%