NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	87		Excitement	4.8 [870]		MVP	Patty Mills (SAS): +24.5%
San Antonio Spurs	109		Comeback	2.0 [1246]		LVP	Roy Hibbert (LAL): -11.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.01	12	70%	0.14	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Nick Young	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	6	46%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	23	50%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Marcelo Huertas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	12	46%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Julius Randle	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	9	22%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.24	0.18	0.06	-0.00	11	92%	0.27	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	12	57%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	82%	0.09	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	20	53%	0.06	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.04
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	57%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	67%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	5	36%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.03
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	8	31%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	3.7	29.0	15.8	30.0	3.5	28.2	130.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +29.9%

SAS +6.4%

SAS +5.0%

SAS +8.1%

SAS +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAS	NBA	LAL	SAS	NBA
this game	15.1	14.8	14.9	89.7	113.5	105.1
season	15.2	15.7		100.1	109.0
opponent	14.7	14.5		97.9	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.9	15.3	14.8	15.2	15.1
SAS	15.7	14.0	14.0	15.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Sacre	25	25	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-26	30	18.1	14.0	4.09	13.1	15.4	-2.27
Brandon Bass	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-21	20	11.7	15.4	-3.77	21.0	14.0	6.97
Anthony Brown	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-21	20	11.7	15.4	-3.77	21.0	14.0	6.97
Ryan Kelly	18	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.16	-6	-16	10	12.8	15.6	-2.83	16.8	14.3	2.51
Nick Young	35	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-18	14	15.7	14.8	0.90	14.6	14.9	-0.27
D'Angelo Russell	75	75	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-13	4	14.1	18.5	-4.36	15.2	13.3	1.89
Julius Randle	41	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	-14	6	16.9	13.8	3.11	13.6	15.7	-2.09
Marcelo Huertas	38	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-14	6	17.5	13.5	3.93	14.3	15.0	-0.69
Larry Nance Jr.	38	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-14	6	14.2	15.6	-1.39	15.1	14.5	0.61
Kobe Bryant	62	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	-4	-14	14.8	15.7	-0.90	14.9	14.6	0.27
Lou Williams	72	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.24	-26	4	-30	15.3	14.5	0.76	13.6	17.6	-3.99
Roy Hibbert	63	61	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.16	-25	3	-28	14.4	16.4	-2.05	14.4	15.3	-0.92

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	56	56	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.01	20	2	18	14.6	14.9	-0.28	14.5	15.9	-1.34
Patty Mills	44	43	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	5	12	12.8	16.4	-3.67	17.3	13.3	4.07
Tim Duncan	42	41	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.04	13	9	4	15.2	14.4	0.76	14.3	15.7	-1.41
Jonathon Simmons	40	43	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.11	17	5	12	12.5	16.4	-3.88	14.7	15.4	-0.69
Kawhi Leonard	52	52	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	12	-2	15.2	14.2	0.98	14.1	16.3	-2.21
Boris Diaw	49	50	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.18	14	8	6	14.4	15.1	-0.64	16.3	13.8	2.55
Ray McCallum	46	47	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.08	9	13	-4	16.8	12.9	3.88	13.4	16.6	-3.17
Manu Ginobili	10	11	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	16	-10	11.5	15.1	-3.64	19.4	14.5	4.83
Rasual Butler	20	22	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.20	9	13	-4	15.5	14.6	0.93	14.1	15.4	-1.22
Boban Marjanovic	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	21	-20	21.0	14.0	6.97	11.7	15.4	-3.77
Danny Green	36	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	24	-26	16.4	13.7	2.69	15.1	15.1	0.01
Kyle Anderson	40	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	22	-22	15.2	14.4	0.80	15.7	14.7	0.98
David West	35	38	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.11	-4	26	-30	13.1	15.7	-2.64	16.0	14.5	1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.57,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 100, GSW 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
DEN 77, UTA 106	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.96,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
MIN 97, ORL 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%