NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	113		Excitement	9.0 [150]		MVP	Terrence Jones (HOU): +25.5%
Houston Rockets	120		Comeback	2.3 [571]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -27.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.13	0.12	-0.01	13	69%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.10	-0.00	9	55%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Ben McLemore	0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.01	-0.03	14	68%	0.15	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	12	58%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Marco Belinelli	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	6	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	12	54%	0.02	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.03	-0.07	0.04	14	50%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.27	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.14,-0.17,-0.22,-0.28,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.11	-0.13	0.03	16	36%	-0.15	3	-0.12	7	86%	0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.03,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.09	0.16	-0.01	9	76%	0.33	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.09	-0.02	9	69%	0.23	3	-0.03	14	57%	-0.05
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.08	0.04	6	87%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	-0.01	0.15	-0.02	14	40%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Harden	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.06	0.01	14	70%	0.36	5	-0.20	16	87%	0.05
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	6	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	25.7	14.7	27.4	1.7	38.5	135.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +44.4%

HOU +23.8%

SAC -11.2%

SAC -8.6%

HOU +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	HOU	NBA	SAC	HOU	NBA
this game	13.8	14.4	14.9	110.8	117.6	105.1
season	13.9	14.0		104.8	105.9
opponent	15.1	14.6		106.9	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.1	13.0	14.7	14.5	13.8
HOU	18.2	12.7	14.7	12.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	63	60	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-10	13	15.2	11.6	3.62	14.9	13.7	1.19
Quincy Acy	7	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-1	-5	14.0	13.8	0.19	17.1	14.2	2.93
Ben McLemore	92	90	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.37	8	-15	23	13.5	16.6	-3.08	14.1	17.1	-3.03
Darren Collison	47	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-5	3	14.6	13.2	1.43	13.7	15.0	-1.34
Omri Casspi	73	74	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-10	13	12.8	16.4	-3.62	13.9	15.9	-1.99
Rudy Gay	67	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-4	1	13.1	15.1	-2.01	14.0	15.2	-1.14
Marco Belinelli	29	29	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	8	-23	15.6	13.1	2.51	16.2	13.7	2.46
Rajon Rondo	76	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	4	-15	13.5	14.8	-1.27	14.4	14.5	-0.12
DeMarcus Cousins	56	57	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.30	-12	5	-17	13.8	13.9	-0.12	15.0	13.6	1.37

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	78	75	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.29	14	-7	21	14.6	13.7	0.97	13.6	14.4	-0.74
Terrence Jones	53	54	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.32	10	-3	13	14.2	14.7	-0.46	14.9	12.6	2.22
Trevor Ariza	83	82	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.41	1	6	-5	13.8	16.9	-3.05	13.0	17.2	-4.20
Patrick Beverley	67	66	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.46	-4	11	-15	14.0	15.2	-1.20	13.6	14.3	-0.74
James Harden	78	79	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.29	1	6	-5	14.1	15.5	-1.48	13.9	13.5	0.45
Ty Lawson	24	25	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.11	12	-5	17	15.2	14.2	1.04	13.7	13.9	-0.14
Jason Terry	35	34	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	2	3	15.4	13.9	1.55	14.2	13.6	0.53
Donatas Motiejunas	12	14	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	4	-1	13.9	14.5	-0.56	14.7	13.7	1.03
Marcus Thornton	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	8	-9	14.4	14.4	-0.05	12.7	14.0	-1.23
Corey Brewer	24	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.12	3	4	-1	15.4	14.1	1.31	16.7	12.9	3.83
Clint Capela	45	46	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.02	-9	16	-25	14.9	14.0	0.93	12.8	14.6	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.58,0.36,0.54,0.4,0.75,0.71,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 75, MEM 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.45,0.56,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.68,0.78,0.97,1,1	91.9%
MEM 100, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.38,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.72,0.62,0.78,0.77,0.92,1	91.3%
NJN 92, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.96,0.99,1	91.2%