NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	100		Excitement	9.4 [94]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +24.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	102		Comeback	1.8 [450]		LVP	Lorenzen Wright (MEM): -23.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.24	0.18	0.08	0.02	19	72%	0.27	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Earl Watson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	3	33%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.12,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	18	47%	0.08	1	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Batiste	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	10	32%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	5	53%	-0.02	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.03	-0.10	0.01	12	48%	-0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16	-0.05	-0.10	0.01	8	25%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24	-0.08	-0.15	0.01	16	36%	-0.24	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.12

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.00	5	79%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,0.07	0.07	-0.06	0.13	0.00	12	46%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	12	55%	0.07	0	0.00	9	89%	0.04
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	75%	0.10	2	-0.08	6	50%	-0.05
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	9	57%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	67%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	5	58%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	10	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	27%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	9	32%	-0.10	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.7	26.5	15.7	25.3	2.5	40.2	136.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +52.4%

MEM -8.3%

MEM -2.6%

LAC +0.5%

LAC +8.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	15.4	14.4	15.5	103.1	106.2	101.6
season	15.3	15.4		101.8	100.2
opponent	15.4	15.2		104.3	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	18.0	15.6	13.2	15.3	15.4
LAC	14.8	16.3	13.4	13.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	24	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	1	-4	16.7	14.9	1.80	14.5	14.4	0.04
Brevin Knight	18	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	3	-8	18.3	14.7	3.54	14.8	14.4	0.49
Mike Batiste	16	16	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	4	-10	18.2	14.8	3.35	16.4	14.1	2.31
Shane Battier	44	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.06	-9	7	-16	16.7	14.3	2.32	13.9	14.9	-0.94
Stromile Swift	29	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	6	-14	17.5	14.5	2.98	14.6	14.4	0.17
Lorenzen Wright	74	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.46	8	-10	18	14.3	18.9	-4.56	14.3	14.9	-0.57
Wesley Person	72	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-5	8	15.1	16.4	-1.30	14.4	14.5	-0.04
Jason Williams	79	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.42	3	-5	8	14.7	18.3	-3.54	14.4	14.8	-0.49
Pau Gasol	75	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-4	6	15.1	16.5	-1.49	14.1	15.5	-1.42
Mike Miller	54	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.56	5	-7	12	14.2	16.9	-2.68	14.9	13.9	0.94

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	42	42	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.49	4	-2	6	14.2	14.6	-0.46	16.0	15.0	0.99
Lamar Odom	54	58	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.46	5	-3	8	14.6	14.3	0.25	15.1	15.8	-0.72
Marko Jaric	41	42	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.51	2	0	2	14.0	14.8	-0.74	15.5	15.3	0.19
Corey Maggette	62	61	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.41	0	2	-2	13.9	15.5	-1.63	14.5	16.8	-2.29
Sean Rooks	70	73	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	2	-2	14.1	15.3	-1.23	14.7	17.5	-2.86
Quentin Richardson	34	32	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	0	2	14.4	14.5	-0.06	16.4	14.9	1.47
Chris Wilcox	43	43	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.14	8	-6	14	14.0	14.8	-0.73	17.0	14.1	2.89
Eric Piatkowski	44	45	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	3	-4	15.4	13.7	1.69	16.3	14.6	1.71
Andre Miller	55	55	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.07	0	2	-2	14.8	14.0	0.74	15.3	15.5	-0.19
Cherokee Parks	35	34	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.12	-10	12	-22	15.7	13.8	1.90	14.1	16.1	-2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.38,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.72,0.62,0.78,0.77,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 75, MEM 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.45,0.56,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.68,0.78,0.97,1,1	92.5%
WAS 90, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.91,1	92.3%
HOU 96, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.84,0.9,1	92.0%