inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 81 Excitement2.7 [1245] MVPAnthony Tolliver (DET): +10.7%
Detroit Pistons 104 Comeback1.2 [705] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -10.9%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Johnson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.00-0.02844%0.0400.002100%0.01
Udonis Haslem0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.080.000.083117%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Richardson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Justise Winslow-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03337%-0.001-0.00250%0.00
Josh McRoberts-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.05625%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.00945%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Hassan Whiteside-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.04-0.000.05975%0.023-0.03250%-0.00
Beno Udrih-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.000.02250%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Goran Dragic-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.001150%0.022-0.04475%0.01
Gerald Green-0.070,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.011743%-0.023-0.05367%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.110,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.16-0.00-0.05911%-0.072-0.0410%-0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.100.01-0.00875%0.1100.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.12-0.000.041275%0.081-0.0000%0.00
Marcus Morris0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.000.001354%0.0400.0000%0.00
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00475%0.0400.0000%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.100.000.07772%0.0300.004100%0.01
Reggie Bullock00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Darrun Hilliard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04383%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stanley Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.100.00-0.101228%0.022-0.021100%0.00
Andre Drummond0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.000.021849%0.021-0.0210%-0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.07-0.00-0.05437%0.003-0.0300%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.14-0.00-0.071519%-0.0700.001100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.01.828.316.324.40.824.3121.0
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +31.1%
MIA -1.8%
DET +11.2%
DET +11.3%
MIA -1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIADETNBAMIADETNBA
this game15.617.514.994.2118.2105.1
season15.515.0104.5104.9
opponent15.115.1105.0103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.216.715.513.915.6
DET18.115.316.420.417.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Udonis Haslem770.00-0.500.50-0.155-283311.316.0-4.6922.917.05.83
Chris Andersen770.00-0.500.50-0.155-283311.316.0-4.6922.917.05.83
Josh Richardson890.00-0.500.50-0.155-283312.115.9-3.8223.116.86.26
Tyler Johnson4142-0.12-0.380.260.03-5-181315.415.8-0.3416.818.1-1.34
Beno Udrih1616-0.14-0.360.23-0.11-1-222115.615.6-0.0419.917.02.92
Josh McRoberts2323-0.15-0.350.210.24-13-10-316.615.21.3918.617.11.46
Justise Winslow5153-0.28-0.22-0.060.01-10-13315.915.10.8617.617.30.38
Gerald Green7071-0.29-0.21-0.080.15-15-8-715.416.4-0.9617.517.6-0.20
Chris Bosh5756-0.32-0.18-0.150.29-21-2-1915.615.6-0.0416.818.7-1.88
Goran Dragic5456-0.40-0.10-0.290.07-16-7-915.615.50.1016.818.6-1.79
Hassan Whiteside5356-0.40-0.10-0.290.28-230-2316.214.61.6016.918.5-1.54
Dwyane Wade4344-0.41-0.09-0.330.35-263-2916.414.81.5616.218.8-2.66

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope64620.450.050.40-0.232302316.819.2-2.4216.214.02.27
Marcus Morris68670.430.070.35-0.4530-73716.819.9-3.1216.113.62.52
Reggie Jackson48460.420.080.34-0.3727-43117.217.8-0.6616.314.81.48
Ersan Ilyasova42420.370.130.24-0.272212116.618.3-1.6216.215.01.21
Andre Drummond60580.370.130.24-0.04149517.317.8-0.4915.515.8-0.34
Aron Baynes24240.130.37-0.24-0.221211116.917.7-0.8416.715.21.49
Anthony Tolliver46440.130.37-0.240.10122-2118.316.61.6215.016.2-1.21
Stanley Johnson36350.120.38-0.250.15-124-2518.716.71.9914.516.3-1.82
Steve Blake40400.080.42-0.340.20-427-3117.817.20.6614.816.3-1.48
Reggie Bullock440.000.50-0.500.09-326-2923.517.26.3010.715.8-5.08
Darrun Hilliard440.000.50-0.500.09-326-2923.517.26.3010.715.8-5.08
Joel Anthony440.000.50-0.500.09-326-2923.517.26.3010.715.8-5.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 77, LAC 920.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
DAL 97, WAS 1060.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
LAL 96, UTA 1200.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%