inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 76 Excitement4.8 [865] MVPTyler Johnson (MIA): +10.9%
Miami Heat 96 Comeback1.6 [701] LVPTerrence Ross (TOR): -10.7%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas0.080,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.09-0.010.001265%0.0800.00250%-0.00
Cory Joseph0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.01367%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00271%0.052-0.043100%0.01
Delon Wright0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Norman Powell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lucas Nogueira0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041100%0.0000.001100%0.00
Luis Scola-0.000,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.000.03570%0.021-0.0200%0.00
James Johnson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.02-0.04550%0.012-0.03425%-0.01
Anthony Bennett-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.041639%0.042-0.07683%0.02
Patrick Patterson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00425%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.12-0.01-0.041447%0.026-0.106100%0.03
Terrence Ross-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.0040%-0.091-0.0200%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.01-0.025100%0.1110.0000%0.00
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.01-0.001557%0.1000.00580%-0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.15-0.000.051470%0.0900.00560%-0.01
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.040.01-0.07847%0.073-0.023100%0.01
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Ennis00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh McRoberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.06-0.00-0.03731%-0.001-0.02250%-0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.021340%-0.001-0.03475%0.00
Justise Winslow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.040.010.01845%0.002-0.05475%0.01
Luol Deng0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.010.03737%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Goran Dragic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.01520%-0.042-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.12.428.515.430.12.028.2129.8
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +17.4%
TOR -4.2%
MIA +17.8%
MIA +20.3%
TOR -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMIANBATORMIANBA
this game15.815.714.983.5104.3105.1
season16.115.5107.2104.5
opponent15.114.8103.1104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.715.116.016.515.8
MIA16.416.215.414.815.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Delon Wright450.00-0.500.500.09-3-171416.215.80.4818.815.53.29
Lucas Nogueira660.00-0.500.500.000-202013.815.9-2.1018.015.52.48
James Johnson4646-0.01-0.490.490.11-4-161216.415.21.1718.013.34.72
Norman Powell98-0.05-0.450.41-0.050-202012.816.1-3.3418.415.42.95
Luis Scola4038-0.08-0.420.330.00-3-171416.615.11.5318.313.94.39
Anthony Bennett1414-0.10-0.400.310.14-8-12417.215.51.6813.516.1-2.58
Jonas Valanciunas5251-0.14-0.360.220.03-6-14816.714.62.0616.914.22.69
DeMar DeRozan6566-0.20-0.300.100.03-8-12416.314.51.8116.214.31.92
Patrick Patterson3135-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.11-7-13614.016.7-2.7213.517.1-3.60
Cory Joseph4646-0.34-0.16-0.190.09-15-5-1016.015.60.4214.616.7-2.11
Bismack Biyombo3031-0.36-0.14-0.220.08-15-5-1014.816.3-1.4313.316.9-3.66
Terrence Ross4042-0.44-0.06-0.380.03-16-4-1215.016.4-1.3713.018.0-5.03
Kyle Lowry7272-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.03-15-5-1015.516.7-1.2015.616.0-0.47

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Justise Winslow66640.60-0.100.700.022002014.219.5-5.3215.017.6-2.56
Josh McRoberts39380.420.080.34-0.141911813.517.3-3.7715.615.9-0.27
Mario Chalmers49480.350.150.19-0.181821614.616.9-2.2515.915.70.27
Chris Bosh58590.320.180.14-0.121551015.116.6-1.4816.115.20.93
Tyler Johnson45430.240.26-0.01-0.17146814.816.6-1.8216.015.60.31
Goran Dragic49490.240.26-0.030.12416-1217.014.22.7315.715.9-0.26
Dwyane Wade46470.150.35-0.200.06317-1416.914.52.4616.115.40.70
Luol Deng53530.100.40-0.290.05218-1617.513.34.1715.715.9-0.18
Hassan Whiteside45450.070.43-0.350.02218-1617.314.13.1816.515.11.34
Udonis Haslem430.000.50-0.50-0.09317-1418.015.62.4215.015.8-0.82
James Ennis660.000.50-0.500.00020-2018.015.52.4813.815.9-2.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.65,0.65,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 90, CLE 1070.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%
SAC 95, NJN 1090.5,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.83,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,194.7%
DEN 81, MIA 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.65,0.71,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%