NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	105		Excitement	7.0 [443]		MVP	Isaiah Canaan (PHI): +24.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	97		Comeback	1.8 [770]		LVP	TJ McConnell (PHI): -25.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elfrid Payton	0.22	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.21,0.22	0.12	0.12	0.02	10	83%	0.28	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Aaron Gordon	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.00	7	62%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Hezonja	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.03	11	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	6	60%	0.04	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Jason Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	8	56%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.07
Evan Fournier	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	12	71%	0.18	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Watson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	18	39%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.07	-0.02	16	70%	0.25	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	7	65%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.01	15	53%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Christian Wood	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	14	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	10	50%	-0.06
Nerlens Noel	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	4	25%	-0.03	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	3	33%	-0.08	1	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.14	-0.12	-0.00	9	33%	-0.13	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.0	26.1	15.4	31.3	2.6	44.6	145.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +15.5%

ORL +22.2%

ORL +2.8%

ORL +3.4%

ORL +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	13.3	16.7	14.9	108.2	102.1	105.1
season	14.6	14.8		103.6	97.7
opponent	14.2	14.9		108.0	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.0	16.2	13.3	12.1	13.3
PHI	16.8	15.8	16.1	17.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Oladipo	71	68	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.24	10	-2	12	13.1	13.9	-0.74	17.0	15.9	1.13
Elfrid Payton	65	63	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-3	14	13.3	13.4	-0.15	17.7	14.8	2.89
Tobias Harris	50	51	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.25	6	2	4	12.5	14.2	-1.65	18.0	15.2	2.82
Dewayne Dedmon	61	58	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	5	-2	13.8	12.6	1.12	16.6	16.9	-0.28
Evan Fournier	80	80	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	9	-10	13.2	13.9	-0.66	16.6	17.2	-0.60
Mario Hezonja	24	24	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	3	2	12.7	13.5	-0.84	16.3	16.8	-0.48
Jason Smith	36	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	5	-2	12.6	13.8	-1.12	17.2	16.4	0.76
Aaron Gordon	46	43	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	5	-2	14.5	12.3	2.21	15.5	17.7	-2.12
CJ Watson	32	33	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	9	-10	13.4	13.3	0.15	14.5	17.9	-3.34
Shabazz Napier	20	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	7	-6	14.6	13.0	1.59	15.5	17.0	-1.46

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Wood	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.02	-1	-7	6	6.5	16.9	-10.41	7.5	13.5	-5.96
Jerami Grant	44	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-7	6	17.7	15.9	1.80	14.1	12.7	1.46
Richaun Holmes	34	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-3	-2	17.0	16.5	0.43	13.8	13.0	0.76
Nerlens Noel	40	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-5	2	16.9	16.5	0.44	14.7	12.3	2.42
JaKarr Sampson	12	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.26	-15	7	-22	18.9	16.4	2.54	10.5	13.7	-3.25
TJ McConnell	73	71	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-10	12	16.9	16.0	0.84	13.4	13.3	0.10
Phil Pressey	22	24	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-1	-6	16.0	16.9	-0.84	13.4	13.3	0.10
Nik Stauskas	72	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-6	4	16.7	16.6	0.17	13.4	13.3	0.05
Isaiah Canaan	52	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-9	10	15.4	18.2	-2.81	13.5	13.1	0.43
Jahlil Okafor	67	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-2	-4	17.3	15.3	1.95	12.5	15.2	-2.69
Hollis Thompson	59	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-4	0	15.6	18.5	-2.86	12.7	14.4	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.27,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.26,0.38,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.1,0.16,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 81, HOU 76	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.24,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.05,0	93.3%
UTA 90, POR 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.02,0	93.2%
CLE 88, DAL 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.14,0.21,0.26,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.06,0,0	92.8%