NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	105		Excitement	8.1 [258]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +22.2%
Houston Rockets	110		Comeback	8.0 [133]		LVP	D.J. Augustin (OKC): -16.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Roberson	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Russell Westbrook	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	16	74%	0.23	7	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	14	43%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	8	45%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Kevin Durant	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.06,0	0.06	-0.06	-0.00	19	62%	0.11	5	-0.11	9	78%	0.02
Anthony Morrow	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	9	52%	0.02	6	-0.19	5	60%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.23,0.24,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.09	0.01	26	59%	0.28	2	-0.06	11	82%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	0.00	8	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	5	60%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.09	-0.02	10	52%	0.14	4	-0.08	7	29%	-0.07
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.02	11	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	13	48%	0.07	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.03
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	14	43%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	33.1	14.0	31.2	2.4	34.4	139.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +22.6%

HOU +2.5%

OKC -23.2%

HOU +47.1%

HOU +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	HOU	NBA	OKC	HOU	NBA
this game	13.9	13.7	14.9	100.0	105.8	105.1
season	14.4	14.0		111.5	105.9
opponent	15.1	15.1		106.9	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.7	12.8	15.4	13.7	13.9
HOU	13.4	11.6	12.3	18.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Morrow	12	13	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.01	5	-10	15	11.7	14.2	-2.40	13.2	13.8	-0.60
Andre Roberson	52	52	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.09	-2	-3	1	13.7	14.1	-0.40	12.4	15.0	-2.63
Enes Kanter	46	47	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-6	7	14.7	13.3	1.42	13.4	13.9	-0.47
Kyle Singler	37	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-5	5	13.6	14.0	-0.48	12.9	14.1	-1.16
Russell Westbrook	69	68	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-9	13	13.3	15.0	-1.71	14.8	11.6	3.13
D.J. Augustin	47	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	7	-19	14.9	13.1	1.80	12.5	14.7	-2.18
Steven Adams	44	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	3	-11	14.1	13.7	0.33	13.3	13.9	-0.59
Kevin Durant	77	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	-1	-3	13.7	14.2	-0.51	13.8	13.4	0.35
Dion Waiters	68	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.52	1	-6	7	14.1	13.4	0.69	14.6	12.0	2.53
Serge Ibaka	73	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.31	-10	5	-15	13.7	14.2	-0.45	14.3	12.3	2.02

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	77	79	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.28	12	-7	19	13.9	13.1	0.72	14.1	13.2	0.86
James Harden	83	83	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.42	6	-1	7	13.9	12.9	1.03	13.7	14.5	-0.79
Marcus Thornton	81	82	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.17	14	-9	23	13.7	13.6	0.15	14.0	13.6	0.40
Clint Capela	23	22	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.25	7	-2	9	14.2	13.5	0.63	14.4	13.7	0.62
Ty Lawson	77	80	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.20	-1	6	-7	14.1	12.6	1.47	13.9	13.9	-0.00
Dwight Howard	75	78	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.09	2	3	-1	13.4	14.3	-0.87	13.9	13.8	0.13
Corey Brewer	50	50	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	7	-9	12.6	14.6	-2.01	13.9	13.8	0.12
Patrick Beverley	48	46	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.22	-9	14	-23	13.4	13.9	-0.46	13.6	14.1	-0.51
Montrezl Harrell	6	5	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	9	-13	14.8	13.6	1.22	11.2	14.0	-2.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.79,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 79, WAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.44,0.55,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.69,0.63,0.94,0.99,1	91.7%
NYK 98, PHX 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.83,0.75,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	91.6%
POR 115, DEN 119	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.13,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.35,0.44,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.53,0.52,0.37,0.59,0.6,0.47,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.85,1	91.5%