NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	94		Excitement	2.4 [1271]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +16.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	112		Comeback	1.0 [907]		LVP	Ish Smith (NOP): -9.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	0.00	0.08	17	66%	0.02	2	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Eric Gordon	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	0.00	0.07	13	61%	0.02	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	14	41%	-0.03	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	0.00	0.10	20	51%	-0.05	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Ish Smith	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.17	0.00	-0.08	14	23%	-0.06	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.31	0.00	0.15	22	79%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	6	86%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	64%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.09	21	46%	0.07	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	7	56%	0.03	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.02	12	50%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	30.3	15.0	22.2	2.4	27.4	126.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +39.0%

POR +7.8%

POR +1.3%

POR +1.6%

POR +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	POR	NBA	NOP	POR	NBA
this game	14.5	14.0	14.9	93.1	110.9	105.1
season	14.3	15.0		104.3	107.1
opponent	14.6	15.0		106.7	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.7	13.6	15.2	14.7	14.5
POR	11.9	12.1	16.1	16.6	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	10	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-19	20	14.2	14.6	-0.37	14.1	14.0	0.16
Dante Cunningham	61	62	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.32	9	-27	36	14.5	14.6	-0.07	16.3	10.3	5.98
Alexis Ajinca	17	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.15	-10	-8	-2	13.9	14.7	-0.71	10.8	14.7	-3.83
Kendrick Perkins	20	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.29	-16	-2	-14	15.9	14.2	1.76	14.0	14.0	0.02
Jrue Holiday	45	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.15	-13	-5	-8	14.6	14.5	0.04	14.7	13.4	1.32
Ish Smith	59	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-19	20	14.6	14.4	0.18	13.7	14.4	-0.65
Ryan Anderson	81	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-16	14	14.2	15.9	-1.76	14.0	14.0	-0.02
Anthony Davis	84	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-10	2	14.7	13.9	0.71	14.7	10.8	3.83
Alonzo Gee	42	42	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.44	-30	12	-42	14.4	14.6	-0.18	10.5	16.4	-5.88
Eric Gordon	86	87	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.15	-22	4	-26	14.6	14.3	0.31	13.8	15.2	-1.43

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Meyers Leonard	72	71	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.42	29	-11	40	14.0	14.0	0.02	14.4	14.8	-0.38
CJ McCollum	79	78	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.23	22	-4	26	14.4	12.4	2.01	14.6	14.3	0.24
Al-Farouq Aminu	66	65	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.40	27	-9	36	13.6	14.7	-1.08	14.4	14.8	-0.38
Damian Lillard	76	76	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.13	17	1	16	13.6	15.3	-1.73	14.4	14.9	-0.46
Ed Davis	63	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.20	18	0	18	13.7	14.4	-0.62	14.1	15.2	-1.13
Allen Crabbe	45	46	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.34	-5	23	-28	13.9	14.1	-0.16	14.8	14.3	0.50
Mason Plumlee	38	39	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	18	-18	14.4	13.7	0.62	15.2	14.1	1.13
Maurice Harkless	38	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.34	-7	25	-32	14.4	13.7	0.62	14.3	14.7	-0.33
Noah Vonleh	28	29	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.39	-11	29	-40	14.4	13.8	0.57	15.1	14.3	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 85, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
SEA 116, DEN 168	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
SAC 89, HOU 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%