NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	89		Excitement	1.9 [1263]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +8.7%
Houston Rockets	105		Comeback	1.0 [875]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -7.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mateen Cleaves	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	0.00	0.10	16	72%	0.01	3	-0.02	11	73%	-0.01
Keon Clark	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	57%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Damon Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	8	37%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	45%	-0.02	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	10	36%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.02	-0.06	6	43%	-0.02	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	0.00	-0.05	16	31%	-0.07	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.17	0.00	0.08	11	91%	0.10	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.00	14	73%	0.09	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	12	69%	0.09	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	18	55%	0.05	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juaquin Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	5	36%	0.00	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	13	46%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	3	20%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.2	27.8	16.3	25.9	2.0	27.3	122.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +42.3%

SAC -3.7%

HOU +5.5%

HOU +4.2%

HOU +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	HOU	NBA	SAC	HOU	NBA
this game	12.2	16.7	15.5	89.9	105.0	101.6
season	14.0	16.3		104.4	101.7
opponent	15.4	15.7		100.4	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.8	12.2	11.3	11.4	12.2
HOU	15.0	16.6	16.4	19.1	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	34	35	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-27	38	11.1	12.8	-1.67	19.2	15.4	3.74
Mateen Cleaves	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-19	22	9.8	12.5	-2.78	18.8	16.4	2.42
Keon Clark	44	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-20	24	11.8	12.5	-0.74	18.4	15.5	2.90
Jim Jackson	50	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.22	3	-19	22	11.3	13.1	-1.82	17.9	15.5	2.40
Damon Jones	37	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-10	4	11.9	12.4	-0.46	17.1	16.5	0.63
Doug Christie	49	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.06	-13	-3	-10	12.8	11.5	1.30	15.7	17.8	-2.04
Hedo Turkoglu	55	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.12	-17	1	-18	12.6	11.6	0.98	15.7	18.1	-2.41
Mike Bibby	67	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	1	-18	12.2	12.2	0.04	16.1	18.0	-1.90
Vlade Divac	71	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.21	-24	8	-32	12.7	10.9	1.75	16.0	18.5	-2.45
Peja Stojakovic	75	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.20	-24	8	-32	12.9	10.1	2.77	16.0	19.1	-3.08

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	82	82	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.23	25	-9	34	16.9	16.1	0.77	12.1	12.5	-0.42
Yao Ming	77	76	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.34	28	-12	40	16.4	17.9	-1.52	11.9	13.0	-1.07
Eddie Griffin	69	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.21	22	-6	28	16.3	17.8	-1.50	12.4	11.8	0.59
Cuttino Mobley	75	73	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.07	15	1	14	16.6	17.1	-0.51	12.1	12.3	-0.17
James Posey	55	56	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	9	-2	16.5	17.0	-0.43	12.6	11.6	1.06
Terence Morris	60	58	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.07	9	7	2	17.8	15.1	2.73	11.4	13.3	-1.98
Moochie Norris	38	38	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.27	-5	21	-26	17.2	16.4	0.80	12.3	12.1	0.26
Maurice Taylor	22	22	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	21	-26	17.5	16.5	1.03	13.5	11.8	1.75
Juaquin Hawkins	5	5	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.13	-4	20	-24	14.4	16.9	-2.46	10.6	12.3	-1.67
Jason Collier	12	13	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.27	-9	25	-34	16.6	16.8	-0.18	12.6	12.1	0.50
Bostjan Nachbar	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	12.6	17.0	-4.36	12.8	12.1	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 93, SAS 123	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
MIA 93, PHX 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
UTA 98, HOU 118	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%