inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 93 Excitement1.9 [1298] MVPKawhi Leonard (SAS): +10.5%
San Antonio Spurs 123 Comeback1.0 [1275] LVPTy Lawson (DEN): -7.3%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.130.000.061274%0.091-0.023100%0.00
Randy Foye0.040,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.090.000.05779%0.0400.0000%0.00
Gary Harris0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03662%0.0010.001100%0.00
Erick Green0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.00-0.0850%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ian Clark0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
JJ Hickson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.100.00-0.09729%0.013-0.0200%0.00
Kenneth Faried-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.00956%-0.003-0.0200%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.020.000.05375%-0.011-0.0220%-0.02
Wilson Chandler-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01839%-0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Will Barton-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.13-0.00-0.10922%-0.043-0.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.050.000.101067%-0.032-0.021100%0.00
Ty Lawson-0.070,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.110.00-0.041032%-0.033-0.04250%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.130.000.031377%0.111-0.0100%0.00
Danny Green0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.190.000.099111%0.122-0.021100%0.00
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.00-0.051154%0.082-0.032100%0.01
Tiago Splitter0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.01478%0.0500.001100%0.00
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.150.000.13882%0.021-0.006100%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.00-0.05631%0.011-0.0010%-0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.011100%0.022-0.012100%0.00
Jeff Ayres0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02375%0.0030.002100%0.00
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.100.00-0.09714%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00450%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.050.000.071258%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.00470%0.013-0.03250%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.71.728.416.426.31.626.5125.6
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +34.8%
SAS +6.1%
SAS +4.3%
SAS +3.3%
SAS +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSASNBADENSASNBA
this game14.315.415.195.9126.8104.2
season14.615.4103.4106.9
opponent14.915.3101.1106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.815.414.513.614.3
SAS15.615.216.214.715.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Erick Green21210.00-0.500.50-0.124-343813.314.6-1.2314.315.7-1.35
Ian Clark220.00-0.500.50-0.155-35405.014.5-9.4911.515.5-3.97
Gary Harris2930-0.00-0.500.490.08-3-272413.014.9-1.8514.815.7-0.90
Will Barton5252-0.11-0.390.270.21-11-19815.113.41.6415.215.6-0.43
Jusuf Nurkic5455-0.15-0.350.200.08-8-221414.014.7-0.7215.115.8-0.69
JJ Hickson5050-0.18-0.320.130.05-8-221413.715.0-1.3214.916.0-1.10
Jameer Nelson3333-0.19-0.310.120.22-14-16214.114.4-0.3615.715.20.51
Kenneth Faried4140-0.31-0.19-0.120.28-20-10-1015.013.81.1315.515.30.14
Randy Foye4040-0.35-0.15-0.200.30-22-8-1414.114.4-0.3415.915.00.95
Wilson Chandler5555-0.37-0.13-0.240.24-21-9-1215.113.31.7516.014.61.40
Ty Lawson4848-0.39-0.11-0.280.31-24-6-1814.414.20.2315.815.00.83
Danilo Gallinari6059-0.44-0.06-0.380.38-28-2-2614.813.51.2315.615.10.51

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kawhi Leonard43430.390.110.29-0.402732416.214.71.5114.214.4-0.20
Tony Parker50490.370.130.25-0.332461816.014.71.2614.314.3-0.03
Tim Duncan40400.330.170.16-0.2620101015.715.20.4814.514.20.30
Danny Green41400.290.210.08-0.241812615.515.30.2514.714.00.77
Manu Ginobili36380.210.29-0.08-0.291713416.015.00.9214.714.00.68
Tiago Splitter14130.210.29-0.08-0.141218-616.415.21.1314.014.3-0.35
Boris Diaw53520.190.31-0.12-0.161218-615.315.5-0.2813.715.0-1.31
Aron Baynes37370.170.33-0.16-0.181218-615.715.20.5014.714.10.61
Cory Joseph35350.120.38-0.250.06228-2614.615.8-1.2414.214.4-0.15
Marco Belinelli41420.110.39-0.29-0.13822-1414.715.9-1.2715.613.32.33
Matt Bonner44450.100.40-0.300.13-131-3215.015.7-0.7214.014.5-0.52
Patty Mills31310.000.50-0.49-0.03129-2814.615.8-1.1913.314.8-1.53
Jeff Ayres20200.000.50-0.500.06-232-3414.215.7-1.4413.214.6-1.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 89, HOU 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.1%
PHX 76, SAS 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.0%
GSW 88, BOS 1200.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%