inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Seattle SuperSonics 116 Excitement2.2 [1277] MVPKenyon Martin (DEN): +9.1%
Denver Nuggets 168 Comeback1.0 [1311] LVPDamien Wilkins (SEA): -7.4%


Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.010,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.110.000.101270%0.032-0.02978%0.00
Mickael Gelabale0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.070.000.061257%0.0100.00450%-0.01
Johan Petro0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.001450%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Chris Wilcox0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001255%0.023-0.02743%-0.02
Mike Wilks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03560%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mouhamed Sene0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04370%0.0000.00475%0.00
Earl Watson-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.040.000.051158%0.011-0.022100%-0.00
Luke Ridnour-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.00433%-0.0200.004100%-0.00
Donyell Marshall-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.100.00-0.0840%-0.012-0.0100%0.00
Nick Collison-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.100.00-0.05719%-0.041-0.01250%-0.00
Jeff Green-0.060,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.110.00-0.051233%-0.043-0.0200%0.00
Damien Wilkins-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.16-0.00-0.091118%-0.033-0.0500%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenyon Martin0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.210.000.121385%0.0900.0010%-0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.130.000.061762%0.0700.00875%-0.01
Allen Iverson0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.120.000.071467%0.072-0.028100%0.01
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.100.000.051165%0.0500.004100%0.01
Marcus Camby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01676%0.054-0.025100%0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.070.000.061561%0.0120.001100%0.00
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.050.01-0.05312%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.150.000.151095%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.02380%0.012-0.00475%-0.00
Steven Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Taurean Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042125%0.0010.0000%0.00
Yakhouba Diawara0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.090.000.09592%0.0010.002100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.92.326.415.427.52.526.5130.6
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +36.7%
DEN +8.1%
SEA -6.0%
DEN +9.3%
DEN +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSEADENNBASEADENNBA
this game12.611.515.497.5140.0105.7
season14.513.399.1108.2
opponent15.215.0105.4107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SEA13.112.612.612.112.6
DEN8.712.311.414.011.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Wilks21210.00-0.500.500.23-8-443611.912.8-0.9213.111.12.00
Mouhamed Sene21210.00-0.500.500.23-8-443611.912.8-0.9213.111.12.00
Donyell Marshall3738-0.07-0.430.360.66-25-27213.112.40.7611.911.30.59
Mickael Gelabale5252-0.10-0.400.310.46-19-331411.613.4-1.8112.310.91.47
Jeff Green7574-0.21-0.290.090.50-24-28412.512.8-0.2912.310.22.07
Luke Ridnour2829-0.22-0.280.070.28-17-351815.011.93.1710.411.8-1.38
Earl Watson7070-0.28-0.22-0.070.51-27-25-211.913.7-1.8011.411.6-0.15
Johan Petro5857-0.29-0.21-0.070.24-18-341611.913.3-1.4311.111.8-0.70
Damien Wilkins5053-0.30-0.20-0.090.58-30-22-812.812.40.3911.111.8-0.78
Nick Collison5556-0.31-0.19-0.110.60-31-21-1013.012.30.6510.712.2-1.56
Chris Wilcox6161-0.33-0.17-0.170.25-20-321212.912.30.5611.211.8-0.60
Kevin Durant6768-0.40-0.10-0.310.56-33-19-1413.411.61.8110.912.3-1.47

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Allen Iverson69690.470.030.43-0.7140122810.313.1-2.7613.111.91.26
Marcus Camby68680.410.090.32-0.7339132610.113.2-3.1013.111.91.21
Carmelo Anthony66660.380.120.26-0.6736162010.912.3-1.4013.112.01.14
Kenyon Martin65640.330.170.16-0.6734181610.912.1-1.2113.012.20.84
Anthony Carter61610.320.180.14-0.6834181610.612.5-1.9013.711.52.14
Eduardo Najera40420.230.27-0.04-0.211537-2211.211.6-0.3612.412.8-0.40
Chucky Atkins52510.180.32-0.14-0.201339-2612.111.01.1311.613.4-1.73
J.R. Smith52510.090.41-0.32-0.291339-2613.210.13.1011.913.1-1.21
Linas Kleiza63620.090.41-0.32-0.291339-2612.610.32.2711.813.5-1.72
Yakhouba Diawara30280.000.50-0.50-0.351240-2813.510.82.6812.412.7-0.34
Steven Hunter21200.000.50-0.50-0.18646-4013.111.12.0011.212.9-1.70
Taurean Green13130.000.50-0.50-0.15547-4213.711.22.4711.812.7-0.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 83, ORL 1120.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.2%
PHX 115, HOU 1310.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.0%
GSW 100, ORL 1200.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%