inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 95 Excitement7.5 [358] MVPNikola Mirotic (CHI): +21.2%
Chicago Bulls 97 Comeback1.6 [824] LVPAaron Brooks (CHI): -12.8%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mo Williams0.080,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.080.070.010.001558%0.171-0.09367%-0.01
LeBron James0.040,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.040.05-0.010.012253%0.071-0.0430%-0.05
Richard Jefferson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.05-0.040.01771%0.051-0.0400%0.00
Anderson Varejao-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.00150%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Tristan Thompson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.03-0.01425%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jared Cunningham-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
James Jones-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kevin Love-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.040.01-0.020.031749%0.012-0.053100%0.01
J.R. Smith-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.001033%-0.0700.00450%-0.01
Matthew Dellavedova-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.020.00837%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Timofey Mozgov-0.090,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.01636%-0.033-0.06250%-0.01

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.210.210.070.13-0.021173%0.314-0.094100%0.07
E'Twaun Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.070.06-0.02869%0.1500.0000%0.00
Doug McDermott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.070.04-0.01480%0.1200.00250%-0.02
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.080.080.040.070.021452%0.0800.005100%0.03
Tony Snell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.00955%0.071-0.03250%-0.02
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.0000%-0.031-0.0220%-0.04
Derrick Rose0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06-0.06-0.080.00-0.012237%-0.002-0.06450%-0.04
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.020.00350%0.033-0.10475%-0.00
Pau Gasol0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.01714%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.05-0.00933%-0.072-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.53.328.40.125.32.838.2124.7
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +34.0%
CHI +11.9%
CLE -3.6%
CHI +0.1%
CHI +7.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLECHINBACLECHINBA
this game15.114.314.996.999.0105.1
season15.814.8110.3103.7
opponent14.914.9105.1103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE15.216.214.414.515.1
CHI14.813.813.814.914.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anderson Varejao22240.18-0.680.86-0.089-112013.915.4-1.5314.314.3-0.00
Timofey Mozgov4442-0.10-0.400.30-0.07-1-1016.214.12.0114.214.4-0.17
James Jones87-0.13-0.370.240.08-75-1213.915.2-1.2814.714.30.41
Richard Jefferson3235-0.16-0.340.17-0.02-53-815.414.90.5314.614.20.37
Jared Cunningham86-0.17-0.330.160.06-86-1415.515.00.4912.014.5-2.49
Matthew Dellavedova4143-0.19-0.310.13-0.221-3413.915.9-1.9314.514.20.23
J.R. Smith6262-0.20-0.300.09-0.200-2215.614.11.4914.314.30.01
Mo Williams7675-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.465-71214.816.0-1.2814.713.21.52
Kevin Love7071-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.481-3415.414.31.0714.613.60.98
LeBron James7573-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.501-3415.314.21.0914.015.4-1.43
Tristan Thompson5252-0.510.01-0.51-0.33-64-1014.415.8-1.4214.014.7-0.72

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Mirotic52510.64-0.140.790.389-71614.614.00.6315.414.70.71
Jimmy Butler73760.54-0.040.580.453-1413.815.8-2.0215.513.42.18
Derrick Rose65670.440.060.370.47-13-414.015.0-1.0015.115.00.12
Tony Snell58590.410.090.320.44-13-414.414.20.2715.314.70.64
Joakim Noah36340.120.38-0.260.0911014.214.4-0.2214.515.3-0.84
Pau Gasol64640.120.38-0.260.35-810-1814.414.20.2515.314.50.84
Taj Gibson44470.120.38-0.270.0620214.014.6-0.6514.715.4-0.71
E'Twaun Moore30290.090.41-0.32-0.034-2615.513.81.6313.915.6-1.69
Aaron Brooks33310.060.44-0.37-0.023-1415.014.01.0015.015.1-0.12
Doug McDermott3532-0.040.54-0.580.02-24-614.314.4-0.1214.515.3-0.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.62,0.48,0.66,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 84, MIN 890.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.94,0.99,192.2%
CHH 87, SAC 990.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.72,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.96,1,1,191.8%
DEN 111, LAC 1140.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.9,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.98,191.8%