NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	87		Excitement	6.2 [571]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (SAC): +9.1%
Sacramento Kings	99		Comeback	1.2 [1187]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (CHH): -38.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.01	12	54%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Lee Nailon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.02	0.03	13	64%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.02
Robert Traylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Stacey Augmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	6	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
George Lynch	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	7	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Baron Davis	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	15	47%	0.02	6	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Mashburn	-0.39	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.29,-0.29,-0.24,-0.28,-0.33,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	-0.30	-0.12	-0.04	18	24%	-0.23	6	-0.16	5	40%	-0.06

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.03	0.07	15	63%	0.06	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	11	54%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	61%	0.07	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.03
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	9	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	9	50%	0.00	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	21	40%	-0.09	2	-0.03	8	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	26.8	15.8	27.2	2.3	30.3	130.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +20.6%

SAC +4.6%

CHH -0.1%

SAC +21.8%

SAC +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	SAC	NBA	CHH	SAC	NBA
this game	16.4	13.5	15.6	90.6	102.1	102.3
season	15.9	14.2		102.2	106.6
opponent	15.5	15.6		99.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	18.2	15.5	16.6	15.3	16.4
SAC	12.5	13.3	14.0	14.1	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	12	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-9	6	15.1	16.6	-1.49	11.8	13.7	-1.87
Robert Traylor	22	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-10	8	14.5	16.9	-2.45	14.9	13.1	1.83
Jamaal Magloire	40	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-8	4	16.4	16.3	0.11	13.3	13.6	-0.21
Lee Nailon	62	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.15	-1	-11	10	15.4	18.3	-2.91	13.4	13.6	-0.26
George Lynch	30	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	-5	-2	18.6	15.4	3.27	13.5	13.5	-0.01
P.J. Brown	56	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-5	-2	17.1	15.4	1.60	12.9	14.3	-1.44
Elden Campbell	34	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-6	0	17.5	15.8	1.77	12.8	13.9	-1.11
David Wesley	65	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-7	2	15.4	18.4	-3.00	13.2	13.9	-0.66
Baron Davis	84	85	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.17	-9	-3	-6	16.6	15.1	1.49	13.7	11.8	1.87
Jamal Mashburn	75	76	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.12	-16	4	-20	16.7	15.3	1.35	14.2	10.9	3.28

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	72	71	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-1	14	13.4	13.7	-0.28	17.1	14.4	2.74
Vlade Divac	74	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	-1	14	13.3	14.0	-0.69	17.1	14.2	2.91
Bobby Jackson	55	54	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.13	10	2	8	12.9	14.2	-1.35	15.1	18.0	-2.83
Doug Christie	82	82	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	1	10	13.7	12.1	1.59	16.4	16.1	0.37
Mike Bibby	71	70	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.19	5	7	-2	13.5	13.5	-0.04	16.7	15.4	1.32
Chris Webber	81	81	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	4	4	13.5	13.2	0.34	16.4	16.5	-0.18
Lawrence Funderburke	13	13	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	13	-14	13.3	13.5	-0.19	13.5	16.8	-3.29
Hedo Turkoglu	37	36	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	11	-10	14.2	13.0	1.20	15.7	16.8	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.72,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 94, HOU 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.97,0.9,0.99,1,1	93.5%
LAC 74, ATL 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.92,0.89,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.4%
MIA 78, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.99,1,1	93.3%