NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	74		Excitement	5.5 [739]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +13.2%
Atlanta Hawks	86		Comeback	1.1 [503]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -21.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quinton Ross	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	17	59%	0.07	6	-0.11	10	60%	-0.04
Tim Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	0.04	14	47%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	11	31%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Daniel Ewing	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	6	33%	-0.09	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.16	-0.07	-0.00	11	36%	-0.05	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.03	0.02	16	64%	0.20	2	-0.07	10	90%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	7	44%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	15	56%	0.06	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	11	35%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	6	0%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.8	30.7	14.0	27.2	2.7	37.2	140.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +31.8%

ATL +4.6%

ATL +2.5%

ATL +7.1%

ATL +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ATL	NBA	LAC	ATL	NBA
this game	16.0	17.3	15.4	86.0	98.9	104.5
season	15.7	16.1		103.3	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.4		106.1	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.2	15.9	15.7	15.4	16.0
ATL	17.1	16.1	17.7	18.2	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Ewing	27	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-10	8	15.2	16.4	-1.18	15.3	18.1	-2.78
Aaron Williams	44	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-9	6	14.9	17.2	-2.26	16.8	17.7	-0.97
Cuttino Mobley	50	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-11	10	15.4	16.9	-1.56	17.2	17.4	-0.23
Chris Kaman	57	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-7	2	16.6	14.9	1.67	18.0	15.8	2.19
Tim Thomas	78	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-8	4	16.1	15.5	0.59	17.8	12.9	4.87
Quinton Ross	37	37	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.14	-19	7	-26	17.1	15.2	1.88	17.5	17.1	0.45
Shaun Livingston	66	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	-2	-8	16.2	15.5	0.70	17.4	16.8	0.53
Elton Brand	71	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.04	-16	4	-20	16.3	14.9	1.33	17.0	18.7	-1.71

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	68	67	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.09	19	-7	26	17.5	16.2	1.33	16.3	14.9	1.40
Zaza Pachulia	59	61	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.15	10	2	8	17.9	15.9	2.01	15.6	17.1	-1.47
Marvin Williams	59	58	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	2	8	17.5	16.7	0.79	15.6	17.0	-1.38
Joe Johnson	72	70	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.06	12	0	12	17.0	18.4	-1.39	16.2	15.3	0.89
Shelden Williams	52	50	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	7	-2	17.7	16.6	1.09	16.7	15.2	1.49
Josh Childress	47	48	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	4	4	16.5	18.2	-1.71	15.9	16.2	-0.36
Lorenzen Wright	50	49	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	9	-6	16.8	17.8	-0.97	16.1	16.0	0.11
Solomon Jones	12	11	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	10	-8	15.2	17.6	-2.32	17.6	15.8	1.84
Salim Stoudamire	16	16	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.07	-9	21	-30	17.4	17.2	0.23	14.6	16.4	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.92,0.89,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 94, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,0.98,1	93.9%
DAL 94, HOU 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.97,0.9,0.99,1,1	93.8%
PHI 84, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.71,0.78,0.95,0.97,0.97,1,1	93.8%