NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	84		Excitement	5.7 [681]		MVP	Matt Geiger (PHI): +13.1%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	1.0 [1116]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -16.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Geiger	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	9	68%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	8	47%	-0.01	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.04
Toni Kukoc	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	12	53%	-0.05	1	-0.03	10	50%	-0.05
Theo Ratliff	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	15	37%	-0.10	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	21	39%	-0.07	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Eric Snow	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	0.01	5	20%	-0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	0.01	10	77%	0.19	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.01	20	62%	0.21	4	-0.10	8	100%	0.04
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	7	57%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	11	55%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	12	48%	-0.02	1	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.3	27.7	15.6	25.3	1.7	28.0	126.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +42.8%

PHI -1.7%

PHI -1.5%

UTA +1.0%

UTA +9.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	UTA	NBA	PHI	UTA	NBA
this game	16.1	16.3	15.2	93.3	111.4	101.7
season	15.0	16.3		99.5	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.5		100.6	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.2	15.6	18.9	16.1	16.1
UTA	13.5	17.2	17.1	18.1	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jumaine Jones	11	10	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.09	10	-24	34	17.5	15.9	1.68	22.6	15.5	7.11
Aaron McKie	40	41	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.06	5	-19	24	15.6	16.4	-0.75	18.3	14.6	3.74
Kevin Ollie	1	2	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.02	2	-16	18	23.0	16.0	7.01	7.0	16.5	-9.51
Todd MacCulloch	8	6	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.01	2	-16	18	10.6	16.6	-5.97	14.0	16.5	-2.46
Matt Geiger	37	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-9	4	15.4	16.5	-1.17	17.8	15.1	2.74
Tyrone Hill	60	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-11	8	17.2	13.8	3.35	16.8	15.2	1.62
Eric Snow	65	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.07	-15	1	-16	17.0	13.7	3.25	15.1	19.2	-4.11
Theo Ratliff	75	72	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.03	-22	8	-30	16.1	15.9	0.16	15.2	21.1	-5.90
Toni Kukoc	70	67	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	0.03	-23	9	-32	15.3	18.7	-3.39	15.6	18.6	-2.99
Allen Iverson	83	81	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.10	-21	7	-28	15.9	17.9	-1.94	16.2	17.0	-0.77

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	55	58	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.02	26	-12	38	13.9	20.4	-6.51	16.5	15.3	1.12
Karl Malone	75	76	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.03	23	-9	32	15.5	20.7	-5.16	16.2	15.1	1.09
John Stockton	66	68	0.69	-0.19	0.88	-0.04	25	-11	36	14.9	20.6	-5.73	15.9	16.5	-0.57
Jeff Hornacek	62	63	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.04	15	-1	16	15.3	18.8	-3.51	15.9	16.5	-0.65
Olden Polynice	40	40	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	7	0	14.8	17.5	-2.74	17.1	15.2	1.86
Greg Ostertag	42	44	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	7	0	18.0	14.7	3.35	16.2	15.9	0.27
Adam Keefe	7	7	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	10	-6	19.3	16.0	3.25	12.3	16.4	-4.10
Scott Padgett	3	3	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.03	1	13	-12	14.3	16.4	-2.03	6.3	16.4	-10.07
Howard Eisley	40	40	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.08	-5	19	-24	19.0	14.0	5.05	16.2	15.9	0.33
Jacque Vaughn	8	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.10	-7	21	-28	22.4	15.7	6.69	17.7	15.9	1.78
Armen Gilliam	16	17	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.06	-10	24	-34	19.4	15.6	3.76	14.2	16.5	-2.26
Quincy Lewis	26	25	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	0.13	-16	30	-46	20.7	14.5	6.19	16.2	16.0	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.71,0.78,0.95,0.97,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, SEA 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.9,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
GSW 104, IND 116	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.89,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.99,1	93.8%
LAC 74, ATL 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.92,0.89,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.8%