NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	107		Excitement	6.5 [493]		MVP	Michael Carter-Williams (MIL): +25.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	97		Comeback	5.4 [354]		LVP	Ish Smith (PHI): -18.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Carter-Williams	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.11,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.14	0.12	0.01	17	64%	0.31	2	-0.05	13	62%	-0.04
O.J. Mayo	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.10	-0.02	9	65%	0.17	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	8	72%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
John Henson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	87%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Miles Plumlee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.02
Tyler Ennis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	11	41%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Gutierrez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	7	33%	-0.00	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	9	41%	-0.06	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	117%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	8	55%	0.12	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Hollis Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	18	50%	0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Furkan Aldemir	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	13	64%	0.19	10	-0.23	13	92%	0.05
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	9	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	8	50%	-0.03	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.00
Henry Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.17	-0.03	-0.06	13	32%	-0.07	4	-0.07	5	80%	0.02
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	7	29%	-0.06	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.4	29.5	15.6	32.4	2.6	39.2	148.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +34.6%

PHI -7.4%

PHI -15.1%

MIL +37.7%

MIL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	12.4	15.2	15.1	101.9	93.3	104.2
season	14.5	14.9		100.5	94.3
opponent	14.8	15.7		103.4	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.0	14.2	10.9	11.6	12.4
PHI	15.8	14.6	15.7	14.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Carter-Williams	64	66	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.04	19	-9	28	12.3	12.5	-0.12	15.4	14.8	0.58
John Henson	46	47	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.20	12	-2	14	11.2	13.3	-2.05	15.9	14.6	1.22
O.J. Mayo	60	59	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	2	6	11.3	13.9	-2.62	15.3	15.1	0.20
Khris Middleton	68	68	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	-3	16	12.2	12.7	-0.48	15.7	14.1	1.64
Ersan Ilyasova	58	59	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	1	8	12.2	12.7	-0.53	15.0	15.4	-0.34
Giannis Antetokounmpo	71	71	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.30	-3	13	-16	13.1	10.8	2.32	16.1	13.3	2.75
Jerryd Bayless	47	45	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	12	-14	12.4	12.4	0.02	15.5	15.0	0.50
Tyler Ennis	22	21	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.12	9	1	8	12.7	12.3	0.37	12.0	16.0	-4.05
Zaza Pachulia	41	41	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	8	-6	13.3	11.8	1.44	14.5	15.7	-1.19
Miles Plumlee	18	16	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	14	-18	13.3	12.2	1.14	15.1	15.2	-0.14
Jorge Gutierrez	30	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.21	-13	23	-36	13.6	11.9	1.65	13.1	15.9	-2.80

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Furkan Aldemir	45	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-7	4	16.0	14.6	1.36	13.1	11.8	1.28
Glenn Robinson	44	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-7	4	15.2	15.2	-0.04	12.0	12.7	-0.66
Robert Covington	70	70	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-12	14	15.2	15.1	0.18	13.4	10.3	3.11
JaKarr Sampson	46	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-9	8	14.3	15.9	-1.57	11.4	13.2	-1.76
Thomas Robinson	47	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-4	-2	14.8	15.5	-0.64	11.8	12.8	-0.99
Jerami Grant	59	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	-3	-4	15.2	15.2	-0.07	13.0	11.5	1.45
Ish Smith	73	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	-2	-6	15.4	14.6	0.86	12.6	11.8	0.83
Henry Sims	59	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	-3	-4	14.6	16.0	-1.36	11.8	13.1	-1.28
Hollis Thompson	77	80	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.09	-17	7	-24	15.7	13.8	1.85	11.9	14.0	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.14,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 125, PHI 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.4%
DEN 125, MEM 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.5,0.3,0.18,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
MIA 92, NYK 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.3%