NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	105		Excitement	7.6 [310]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +53.1%
Golden State Warriors	116		Comeback	4.3 [711]		LVP	Shaun Livingston (GSW): -16.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.00	14	61%	0.15	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	2	125%	0.15	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	9	39%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	24	53%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Robin Lopez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	6	25%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	31%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Damian Lillard	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	22	43%	-0.06	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.3,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.53	0.53	0.36	0.28	0.11	23	92%	0.67	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.06
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.09,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	21	57%	0.19	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	6	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.01	6	86%	0.14	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.06	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.00	8	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	6	17%	-0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	3.5	30.2	17.7	26.3	1.5	29.2	130.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +38.1%

GSW +16.3%

GSW +11.2%

POR -16.2%

GSW +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	16.1	13.8	15.1	108.2	120.8	104.2
season	15.3	13.6		106.5	109.2
opponent	15.5	15.0		99.7	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.5	16.6	17.8	13.4	16.1
GSW	12.3	12.7	13.5	16.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Meyers Leonard	18	17	0.33	-0.83	1.16	-0.05	13	-24	37	14.2	16.5	-2.35	13.1	13.9	-0.77
CJ McCollum	63	63	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.15	11	-22	33	14.1	19.7	-5.53	14.7	11.8	2.90
Steve Blake	28	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.07	2	-13	15	13.9	17.0	-3.13	15.8	12.9	2.87
Robin Lopez	46	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-10	9	17.3	15.0	2.32	14.2	13.4	0.80
Chris Kaman	21	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	-2	-7	14.9	16.4	-1.56	12.2	14.2	-2.00
Nicolas Batum	84	82	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	-4	-3	16.3	14.9	1.34	13.2	16.9	-3.72
Allen Crabbe	28	29	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	-1	-9	13.5	17.1	-3.58	16.3	12.7	3.62
Arron Afflalo	53	52	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.02	-16	5	-21	18.7	12.9	5.85	12.4	15.3	-2.90
Damian Lillard	75	76	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.18	-15	4	-19	16.8	13.5	3.28	13.8	13.5	0.25
LaMarcus Aldridge	69	69	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.13	-23	12	-35	16.8	14.4	2.43	12.9	15.9	-2.98

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	71	71	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.09	26	-15	41	12.8	16.4	-3.53	16.8	14.1	2.74
Andrew Bogut	61	62	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.21	19	-8	27	13.8	13.6	0.24	17.6	13.3	4.33
Stephen Curry	70	72	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.04	21	-10	31	12.9	16.1	-3.24	16.7	14.3	2.37
Klay Thompson	71	72	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.14	11	0	11	13.0	16.0	-3.04	17.1	13.2	3.83
Andre Iguodala	56	56	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.26	-2	13	-15	14.7	12.4	2.27	13.7	19.3	-5.52
Justin Holiday	22	21	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.10	1	10	-9	15.9	13.1	2.80	13.0	16.9	-3.87
Harrison Barnes	57	57	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.14	8	3	5	13.1	14.7	-1.63	18.1	13.2	4.86
Brandon Rush	10	10	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	10	-9	20.6	13.0	7.65	14.7	16.2	-1.54
Marreese Speights	18	19	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	14	-17	12.6	14.0	-1.40	11.8	17.1	-5.27
David Lee	12	12	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.08	-11	22	-33	13.4	13.8	-0.38	11.7	16.7	-5.04
Shaun Livingston	32	33	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.07	-16	27	-43	16.0	12.6	3.33	15.0	16.7	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.44,0.33,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 84, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.44,0.54,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.6,0.75,0.85,0.99,1,1	91.2%
DAL 92, UTA 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.72,0.62,0.85,0.98,0.99,1	90.8%
DET 82, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.96,0.96,1	90.8%