NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	84		Excitement	3.4 [1107]		MVP	Kenneth Faried (DEN): +11.5%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	1.9 [716]		LVP	Wilson Chandler (DEN): -8.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenneth Faried	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.00	-0.01	13	61%	0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Will Barton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	13	52%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Erick Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	8	19%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	28%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	14	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	-0.05	12	50%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.02	-0.05	16	56%	0.07	3	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.14	-0.00	0.08	7	80%	0.09	2	-0.03	11	55%	-0.02
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	7	86%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	9	41%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Bryce Cotton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jack Cooley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Elijah Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	5	20%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.6	29.2	15.4	26.2	2.0	32.0	130.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +49.2%

DEN -1.6%

UTA +6.8%

DEN -5.8%

UTA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	UTA	NBA	DEN	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	16.7	15.1	94.4	110.1	104.2
season	14.6	16.2		103.4	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.3		103.7	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	16.8	16.8	15.2	14.1	15.7
UTA	19.2	13.8	16.7	17.2	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurkic	26	27	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.25	9	-23	32	17.1	15.1	1.95	16.7	16.7	0.01
Erick Green	14	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-25	36	10.9	16.6	-5.66	15.9	16.8	-0.96
Will Barton	46	46	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.28	9	-23	32	14.8	16.6	-1.76	15.3	18.2	-2.90
Ian Clark	8	7	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-7	0	16.7	15.6	1.16	10.4	17.2	-6.77
Ty Lawson	56	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	-6	-2	15.3	16.3	-1.01	17.0	16.1	0.96
Danilo Gallinari	46	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	-3	-8	15.1	16.3	-1.22	17.8	15.5	2.30
Joffrey Lauvergne	42	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-12	10	16.5	15.0	1.52	15.8	17.4	-1.64
Gary Harris	26	27	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-9	4	15.5	15.8	-0.33	14.9	17.4	-2.49
Wilson Chandler	44	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-1	-12	16.1	15.3	0.73	18.7	14.7	3.95
Randy Foye	53	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	1	-16	15.0	16.8	-1.82	17.5	15.4	2.09
Jameer Nelson	35	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	4	-22	19.2	13.4	5.73	15.7	17.3	-1.55
Kenneth Faried	49	50	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.12	-20	6	-26	15.3	16.1	-0.78	17.3	15.8	1.45

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	55	54	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.08	20	-6	26	17.5	15.3	2.26	15.9	15.3	0.58
Elijah Millsap	40	41	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.08	20	-6	26	14.5	18.4	-3.97	16.8	14.8	2.01
Dante Exum	56	58	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	5	4	16.4	17.1	-0.68	14.8	17.5	-2.69
Trey Burke	45	43	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.16	15	-1	16	16.5	16.8	-0.31	17.7	13.8	3.92
Joe Ingles	49	49	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	1	12	18.0	15.0	2.93	15.3	16.2	-0.87
Trevor Booker	52	53	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	5	4	15.8	17.9	-2.15	16.7	14.2	2.52
Gordon Hayward	64	65	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.34	-6	20	-26	17.5	14.6	2.92	14.5	18.8	-4.29
Derrick Favors	42	44	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	17	-20	19.0	14.6	4.34	15.8	15.6	0.15
Bryce Cotton	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	10.5	17.0	-6.45	5.3	16.1	-10.72
Jack Cooley	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	10.5	17.0	-6.45	5.3	16.1	-10.72
Jeremy Evans	10	9	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	16	-18	15.4	16.8	-1.42	17.1	15.5	1.57
Chris Johnson	24	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	17	-20	14.8	17.3	-2.51	15.6	15.7	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 82, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
NOH 66, HOU 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
UTA 84, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%