inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 95 Excitement5.9 [629] MVPAndre Drummond (DET): +15.0%
Detroit Pistons 105 Comeback1.5 [500] LVPPero Antic (ATL): -13.5%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMarre Carroll0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00767%0.102-0.0710%-0.01
Jeff Teague0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.020.00764%0.072-0.0400%0.00
Al Horford0.020,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.08-0.010.041080%0.092-0.0600%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.090.010.081461%0.051-0.033100%-0.00
Kyle Korver-0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.02-0.00773%0.073-0.0810%-0.02
Shelvin Mack-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.010.03967%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Kent Bazemore-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.02642%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Austin Daye-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.010.041150%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Mike Muscala-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.11-0.03-0.07930%0.003-0.082100%0.01
Paul Millsap-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.00724%-0.0900.00367%-0.00
Pero Antic-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.03-0.0170%-0.1400.0000%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Drummond0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.110.070.031167%0.181-0.031155%-0.08
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.080.04-0.021655%0.1400.001100%0.01
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.040.01965%0.131-0.042100%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.040.01967%0.112-0.0400%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.002100%0.0700.001100%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.02-0.01-0.04950%0.072-0.0500%0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Lucas III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.05-0.010.081168%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Shawne Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00420%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Caron Butler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.020.01658%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Jodie Meeks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01617%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.41.726.216.423.01.524.4113.5
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +33.5%
DET +5.5%
ATL -10.0%
DET +23.9%
ATL -2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLDETNBAATLDETNBA
this game15.316.115.1103.3115.4104.2
season14.915.7106.7104.0
opponent15.315.4105.0101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL16.413.017.814.415.3
DET14.915.815.618.316.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Austin Daye15160.02-0.520.55-0.094-141810.916.2-5.3514.816.4-1.60
Mike Muscala4746-0.23-0.270.05-0.251-111214.616.1-1.5415.716.6-0.93
Kent Bazemore4746-0.23-0.270.05-0.251-111214.616.1-1.5415.716.6-0.93
Thabo Sefolosha4746-0.23-0.270.05-0.251-111214.616.1-1.5415.716.6-0.93
Shelvin Mack4746-0.23-0.270.05-0.251-111214.616.1-1.5415.716.6-0.93
Pero Antic3230-0.25-0.250.00-0.16-3-7416.314.81.5316.116.10.00
Kyle Korver4545-0.27-0.23-0.050.05-111-1216.114.61.5416.615.70.93
Jeff Teague4545-0.27-0.23-0.050.05-111-1216.114.61.5416.615.70.93
DeMarre Carroll4545-0.27-0.23-0.050.05-111-1216.114.61.5416.615.70.93
Al Horford4545-0.27-0.23-0.050.05-111-1216.114.61.5416.615.70.93
Paul Millsap4545-0.27-0.23-0.050.05-111-1216.114.61.5416.615.70.93

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Tolliver77770.51-0.010.520.1911-11215.619.3-3.7315.713.71.93
Reggie Jackson47440.470.030.440.0016-62215.117.3-2.2115.215.5-0.27
Andre Drummond60610.420.080.330.0612-21414.219.8-5.5216.313.42.96
Tayshaun Prince49500.400.100.290.1973416.815.31.5314.016.9-2.91
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope62620.310.190.12-0.0412-21415.318.0-2.6915.614.80.81
John Lucas III38400.190.31-0.110.1328-617.015.51.4515.315.4-0.08
Jodie Meeks29300.190.31-0.120.25-212-1418.015.32.6914.815.6-0.81
Caron Butler42420.100.40-0.290.0237-415.316.8-1.5316.914.02.91
Joel Anthony31310.080.42-0.330.14-212-1419.814.25.5213.416.3-2.96
Shawne Williams1415-0.010.51-0.520.02-111-1219.315.63.7313.715.7-1.93
Spencer Dinwiddie68-0.160.66-0.830.07-818-2619.215.93.2516.415.21.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.57,0.46,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 83, MEM 1040.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.8%
DET 89, ORL 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.65,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,193.5%
SEA 80, IND 930.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,193.5%