NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	88		Excitement	4.9 [824]		MVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): +16.4%
New Orleans Pelicans	102		Comeback	2.0 [765]		LVP	Eric Gordon (NOP): -9.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.04	0.01	28	57%	0.13	3	-0.09	12	58%	-0.06
Reggie Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	35%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	18	45%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Andre Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ray McCallum	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.06	0.02	15	71%	0.21	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	8	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.02	11	73%	0.19	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.01	26	44%	0.00	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	25.3	15.7	26.3	1.7	24.6	118.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +32.8%

NOP +0.8%

NOP +17.7%

SAC -0.2%

SAC -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NOP	NBA	SAC	NOP	NBA
this game	15.5	17.0	15.1	101.1	113.3	104.2
season	14.9	15.8		103.7	106.3
opponent	15.2	14.8		106.1	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.6	18.2	15.5	15.1	15.5
NOP	17.0	17.8	15.8	17.5	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben McLemore	57	60	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-20	26	14.6	17.2	-2.62	16.6	17.7	-1.05
Omri Casspi	47	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-15	16	15.0	16.2	-1.22	15.6	18.6	-2.95
Ray McCallum	63	65	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.24	4	-18	22	14.7	17.6	-2.85	16.7	17.8	-1.05
Reggie Evans	8	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-8	2	17.4	15.3	2.05	18.2	16.9	1.37
Rudy Gay	68	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-11	8	14.9	17.6	-2.64	16.7	18.4	-1.74
DeMarcus Cousins	75	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-13	12	15.2	17.7	-2.59	16.9	17.7	-0.81
Andre Miller	24	25	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.15	-18	4	-22	17.6	14.7	2.85	17.8	16.7	1.05
Derrick Williams	27	27	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.18	-19	5	-24	17.6	14.6	3.06	18.7	16.3	2.49
Jason Thompson	32	34	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-3	-8	17.2	14.5	2.64	18.6	16.0	2.60
Nik Stauskas	34	34	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.19	-23	9	-32	16.1	15.2	0.89	17.3	16.8	0.43

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	46	45	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.01	21	-7	28	16.8	17.2	-0.36	17.3	13.6	3.67
Norris Cole	40	37	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.11	14	0	14	17.6	16.5	1.08	17.5	14.0	3.52
Anthony Davis	77	75	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	4	6	16.9	17.8	-0.90	15.3	17.0	-1.72
Alexis Ajinca	22	21	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.01	10	4	6	17.0	17.0	-0.06	17.5	14.9	2.58
Tyreke Evans	63	62	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.14	3	11	-8	17.3	16.4	0.85	14.3	18.6	-4.38
Toney Douglas	24	22	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.05	9	5	4	15.6	17.5	-1.93	18.3	14.6	3.75
Omer Asik	68	66	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	10	-6	17.0	17.0	0.06	14.9	17.5	-2.58
Luke Babbitt	3	3	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	12	-10	23.0	16.8	6.21	21.0	15.3	5.68
Quincy Pondexter	68	65	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.11	-2	16	-18	16.8	17.5	-0.72	14.8	17.6	-2.78
Eric Gordon	39	39	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.04	-1	15	-16	17.2	16.9	0.27	13.2	17.4	-4.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.57,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 100, MIA 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
MIN 90, UTA 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
HOU 89, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.82,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%