NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	108		Excitement	6.0 [608]		MVP	Nik Stauskas (SAC): +11.7%
Phoenix Suns	99		Comeback	1.2 [303]		LVP	PJ Tucker (PHX): -25.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nik Stauskas	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.01	-0.01	7	87%	0.13	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Ben McLemore	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	9	67%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	0.01	8	60%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.04
DeMarcus Cousins	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	19	59%	0.16	5	-0.13	3	67%	-0.02
Rudy Gay	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	7	61%	0.08	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.03
Omri Casspi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ray McCallum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.01	0.04	11	58%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	-0.02	0.05	11	79%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	16	63%	0.11	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	12	54%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	0.05	15	54%	0.03	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	5	38%	-0.00	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Alex Len	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	7	37%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.20	-0.07	-0.01	11	12%	-0.19	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	28.1	16.4	22.4	1.7	38.3	132.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +45.6%

SAC +7.1%

PHX -3.0%

PHX -4.6%

SAC +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.3	13.6	15.1	104.9	96.1	104.2
season	14.9	14.4		103.7	103.7
opponent	15.0	14.8		104.9	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.4	14.4	14.3	15.1	14.3
PHX	12.8	12.7	20.0	10.6	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nik Stauskas	36	37	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	-3	15	15.4	13.7	1.67	14.3	13.3	1.04
Derrick Williams	58	56	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	0	9	15.7	12.5	3.23	14.4	12.7	1.75
DeMarcus Cousins	78	79	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	1	7	13.6	16.6	-2.94	14.4	11.2	3.10
Rudy Gay	60	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	4	1	14.0	14.7	-0.71	15.0	11.6	3.40
Andre Miller	36	38	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.08	12	-3	15	14.5	14.2	0.30	14.2	13.3	0.88
Ray McCallum	71	68	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	9	-9	13.6	16.0	-2.38	13.0	14.8	-1.81
Reggie Evans	13	14	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	1	7	16.0	14.1	1.91	12.8	13.8	-0.98
Jason Thompson	33	32	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	8	-7	15.2	13.9	1.30	10.8	14.9	-4.09
Ben McLemore	63	63	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.26	-6	15	-21	14.4	14.2	0.25	13.6	13.7	-0.15
Omri Casspi	67	66	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	13	-17	13.4	16.0	-2.52	12.4	15.9	-3.53

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.J. Price	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-9	9	15.6	13.4	2.11	15.3	14.2	1.10
Gerald Green	25	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-12	15	10.4	14.7	-4.32	14.7	14.2	0.51
Alex Len	51	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-7	5	14.9	12.4	2.56	14.5	14.2	0.33
Marcus Morris	56	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-10	11	13.2	14.1	-0.91	14.8	13.7	1.14
Eric Bledsoe	79	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-10	11	12.1	18.7	-6.57	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Archie Goodwin	57	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	1	-11	14.0	13.2	0.79	14.4	14.3	0.11
PJ Tucker	74	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-1	-7	14.3	12.0	2.22	13.5	16.6	-3.13
Brandan Wright	58	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-1	-7	13.8	13.4	0.49	15.3	13.2	2.18
TJ Warren	24	22	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.08	-16	7	-23	16.6	12.7	3.90	13.8	14.5	-0.71
Markieff Morris	82	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.26	-6	-3	-3	13.5	14.0	-0.46	13.9	16.0	-2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.3,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.17,0.13,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.02,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 98, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
LAL 84, DET 76	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.17,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,0	94.1%
MIL 106, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0	94.0%