NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	127		Excitement	17.8 [1]		MVP	Brook Lopez (BKN): +43.0%
Brooklyn Nets	129		Comeback	9.3 [142]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (MIL): -50.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12	-0.03	0.15	0.01	19	46%	0.27	3	-0.15	12	75%	0.04
Khris Middleton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.17,0.09,-0.02,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03	0.11	-0.11	0.03	23	58%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.05	-0.09	0.02	19	53%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	7	29%	-0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.00	8	25%	-0.10	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	0.04	-0.24	0.01	16	61%	-0.02	3	-0.20	4	100%	0.02
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.50	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.32,-0.39,-0.47,-0.18,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31,-0.5,-0.5	-0.16	-0.35	-0.00	26	32%	-0.46	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.03

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.21	0.24	0.02	20	70%	0.46	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.01	0.20	0.01	15	53%	0.24	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.12	-0.00	10	54%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	0.00	16	56%	0.25	3	-0.15	4	50%	-0.10
Markel Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.15,-0.06	-0.06	0.05	-0.09	0.02	20	51%	0.00	1	-0.06	7	71%	-0.03
Cory Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	31%	-0.04	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.03
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	6	27%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.27	-0.27	-0.08	-0.18	0.00	11	50%	-0.10	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2		OT3	Total
this game	26.0	2.6	30.4	14.6	25.6	2.3	28.4	1.6	13.0	1.6	12.1	1.6	19.0	178.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	2.0	17.8	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +132.8%

BKN +8.2%

MIL -125.7%

BKN +15.3%

BKN +19.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BKN	NBA	MIL	BKN	NBA
this game	15.7	15.3	15.1	105.0	104.9	104.2
season	14.5	15.3		100.5	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.7		105.8	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	12.6	14.5	14.0	18.7	19.5	15.7
BKN	14.1	15.5	15.4	15.6	16.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	104	105	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.34	20	-22	42	15.5	16.6	-1.06	16.1	10.7	5.44
Ersan Ilyasova	78	81	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.07	-2	0	-2	16.2	14.7	1.59	15.8	14.4	1.34
Michael Carter-Williams	85	87	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.56	17	-19	36	16.1	14.7	1.40	16.2	13.1	3.15
Zaza Pachulia	74	77	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.30	6	-8	14	16.2	14.8	1.42	15.9	14.2	1.71
Miles Plumlee	36	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	3	-8	15.9	15.6	0.30	14.6	15.6	-1.03
Tyler Ennis	36	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	7	-16	14.7	16.1	-1.32	13.4	16.1	-2.63
John Henson	45	45	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	2	-6	14.0	16.6	-2.60	13.5	16.3	-2.84
Giannis Antetokounmpo	99	102	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.26	-11	9	-20	16.1	13.8	2.27	15.4	14.8	0.66
Jerryd Bayless	48	48	-1.11	0.61	-1.73	-0.47	-22	20	-42	14.7	16.3	-1.61	13.5	16.5	-3.04

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	80	79	1.11	-0.61	1.72	0.47	22	-20	42	14.7	16.5	-1.78	15.2	16.5	-1.26
Thaddeus Young	101	99	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.43	12	-10	22	15.3	15.4	-0.12	16.3	12.9	3.44
Bojan Bogdanovic	90	87	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.37	6	-4	10	14.9	16.5	-1.65	14.3	19.1	-4.83
Brook Lopez	82	79	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.43	1	1	0	15.8	14.3	1.45	15.6	15.8	-0.17
Alan Anderson	53	53	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	-11	24	13.6	16.6	-2.93	14.6	16.5	-1.91
Joe Johnson	88	86	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.69	-17	19	-36	16.4	12.5	3.99	16.5	13.7	2.72
Markel Brown	10	11	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	1	0	16.0	15.2	0.75	14.9	15.8	-0.85
Mason Plumlee	39	41	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.10	2	0	2	15.0	15.5	-0.45	16.0	15.5	0.56
Cory Jefferson	22	22	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.01	-10	12	-22	15.4	15.3	0.12	12.9	16.3	-3.44
Deron Williams	43	42	-0.61	1.11	-1.72	-0.03	-20	22	-42	16.5	14.7	1.78	16.5	15.2	1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.22,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.4,0.66,0.75,0.46,0.14,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.31,0.42,0.54,0.81,0.85,0.68,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 87, CHA 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.17,0.4,0.6,0.76,0.46,0.55,0.85,1	86.2%
PHI 84, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.34,0.24,0.3,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.46,0.61,0.8,0.54,0.43,0.58,1	86.0%
BKN 108, OKC 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.45,0.31,0.58,1	85.5%