NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	84		Excitement	7.8 [255]		MVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): +30.6%
Boston Celtics	87		Comeback	13.0 [128]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -33.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.18	0.11	-0.02	6	138%	0.33	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0.27	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.23,0.13,0.27	0.12	0.16	0.01	19	63%	0.29	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Salmons	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.16	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	10	20%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	11	44%	-0.03	4	-0.14	5	80%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19	-0.10	-0.10	0.00	12	41%	-0.06	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.03
Eric Snow	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.33	-0.16	-0.19	-0.01	10	24%	-0.24	2	-0.09	5	80%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jiri Welsch	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.15	0.00	12	79%	0.30	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.10
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,0.12	0.12	-0.06	0.16	-0.02	5	30%	0.15	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	15	65%	0.15	5	-0.13	18	89%	0.10
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	75%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	0.00	10	45%	0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	7	43%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.6	29.8	15.8	25.2	2.4	36.2	137.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +20.1%

BOS +31.1%

PHI -12.2%

BOS +1.6%

BOS +9.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	18.0	14.0	15.7	92.3	97.8	100.5
season	16.2	14.4		96.7	99.5
opponent	15.9	15.8		102.1	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.1	16.7	20.3	17.8	18.0
BOS	15.6	15.2	13.0	12.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amal McCaskill	7	7	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.04	8	-11	19	15.7	18.2	-2.45	18.6	13.6	4.99
Kyle Korver	38	38	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.14	11	-14	25	16.1	19.4	-3.31	11.9	15.5	-3.68
Greg Buckner	16	17	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-5	7	18.7	17.8	0.86	13.8	14.0	-0.19
Aaron McKie	70	66	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-7	11	17.5	19.4	-1.89	14.0	14.0	-0.09
Derrick Coleman	41	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-2	1	18.5	17.6	0.93	13.2	14.6	-1.41
John Salmons	38	36	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	1	-5	17.7	18.2	-0.41	14.5	13.6	0.88
Samuel Dalembert	52	51	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.20	-10	7	-17	18.7	17.1	1.58	14.3	13.6	0.65
Eric Snow	79	79	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.47	-5	2	-7	17.9	18.7	-0.79	13.9	14.5	-0.59
Glenn Robinson	55	53	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.35	-9	6	-15	18.9	16.6	2.26	14.1	13.8	0.34
Kenny Thomas	59	58	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	8	-19	18.3	17.3	0.98	14.8	12.4	2.39

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vin Baker	63	65	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.40	17	-14	31	13.5	15.1	-1.61	19.0	15.4	3.63
Mike James	61	62	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.33	9	-6	15	14.0	13.8	0.23	18.0	18.0	-0.08
Paul Pierce	83	86	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.41	6	-3	9	13.7	18.3	-4.67	17.8	21.2	-3.41
Jiri Welsch	73	75	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.46	3	0	3	14.2	12.9	1.34	18.4	16.0	2.40
Walter McCarty	58	60	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.50	-4	7	-11	13.1	15.7	-2.61	17.0	19.9	-2.92
Mark Blount	40	38	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.11	4	-1	5	15.5	12.7	2.77	19.0	17.3	1.71
Marcus Banks	9	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	5	-7	11.4	14.3	-2.82	16.1	18.2	-2.07
Ricky Davis	41	41	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	10	-17	14.6	13.4	1.22	18.0	17.9	0.13
Chris Mihm	17	19	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.03	-11	14	-25	15.2	13.7	1.55	15.6	18.6	-3.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.34,0.24,0.3,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.46,0.61,0.8,0.54,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 108, OKC 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.45,0.31,0.58,1	91.4%
BOS 100, NJN 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.24,0.2,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.67,0.58,1	90.8%
OKC 112, POR 115	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.32,0.38,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.58,1	90.6%