NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	116		Excitement	6.0 [603]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (LAC): +26.2%
Sacramento Kings	105		Comeback	1.2 [1076]		LVP	Austin Rivers (LAC): -7.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.16	0.14	0.04	12	79%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.25	0.05	0.04	16	79%	0.26	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.19	0.07	0.02	20	75%	0.27	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.04	-0.05	7	40%	0.04	2	0.01	1	0%	-0.03
Dahntay Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	16	50%	0.03	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Austin Rivers	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.05	0.04	11	73%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.02	4	90%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	65%	0.11	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	6	81%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	19	47%	0.04	2	-0.05	11	100%	0.07
Ray McCallum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.7	26.1	15.4	28.5	2.4	33.5	131.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +60.0%

SAC -17.1%

SAC -0.6%

LAC +7.6%

LAC +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAC	NBA	LAC	SAC	NBA
this game	15.8	14.4	15.1	120.8	110.5	104.2
season	14.6	14.9		110.5	103.7
opponent	14.8	15.3		107.6	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.5	15.2	14.8	17.5	15.8
SAC	15.8	13.6	15.9	12.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	70	71	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.28	17	-6	23	16.2	14.5	1.73	14.5	14.0	0.58
Chris Paul	78	77	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.22	17	-6	23	15.9	15.1	0.87	14.3	14.8	-0.48
Blake Griffin	71	72	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.19	15	-4	19	15.7	16.0	-0.27	14.5	14.1	0.34
Hedo Turkoglu	65	66	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.18	13	-2	15	16.2	14.8	1.36	14.0	15.3	-1.33
JJ Redick	78	78	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.13	8	3	5	16.1	14.2	1.89	13.8	17.3	-3.54
Dahntay Jones	23	21	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	6	-1	15.0	16.0	-0.94	16.9	13.7	3.23
Austin Rivers	30	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	11	-11	14.8	16.2	-1.40	15.3	14.0	1.33
Spencer Hawes	22	21	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.03	-4	15	-19	15.7	15.8	-0.10	14.4	14.4	-0.01
Glen Davis	23	21	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.04	-8	19	-27	14.8	16.1	-1.23	14.0	14.5	-0.56
Nate Robinson	20	19	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.05	-8	19	-27	14.3	16.1	-1.78	14.2	14.4	-0.22

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omri Casspi	36	38	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-15	19	13.6	14.9	-1.25	15.5	15.9	-0.39
Reggie Evans	44	46	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-12	13	14.4	14.4	0.04	15.5	16.0	-0.58
Nik Stauskas	48	48	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-12	13	14.0	14.7	-0.70	15.2	16.3	-1.10
Andre Miller	49	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-12	13	13.1	15.7	-2.62	16.3	15.1	1.18
Derrick Williams	48	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-12	13	13.1	15.7	-2.56	15.6	16.0	-0.39
Ryan Hollins	26	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-1	-9	16.7	13.5	3.17	15.9	15.7	0.17
Ben McLemore	35	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	0	-11	15.8	13.5	2.28	16.4	15.3	1.09
Ray McCallum	46	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	1	-13	15.7	13.1	2.62	15.1	16.3	-1.18
Jason Thompson	69	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	1	-13	14.4	14.4	-0.05	15.7	15.8	-0.05
Rudy Gay	74	74	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.11	-18	7	-25	14.3	14.6	-0.29	16.2	14.3	1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.47,0.42,0.26,0.12,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 114, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.9%
OKC 120, GSW 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.0%
IND 88, DET 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.14,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.0%