NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	83		Excitement	4.1 [991]		MVP	Courtney Lee (MEM): +11.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	96		Comeback	2.0 [870]		LVP	Tyler Ennis (MIL): -17.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.03	10	73%	0.11	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	10	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Chris Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	8	70%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Johnny O'Bryant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	15	49%	-0.01	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	1	30%	-0.03	2	-0.05	8	37%	-0.05
Tyler Ennis	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.05	-0.03	14	25%	-0.12	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.02	10	74%	0.14	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	10	70%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	12	36%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	5	80%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	12	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	13	50%	0.07	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	10	54%	0.04	5	-0.11	8	87%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.8	30.4	15.4	27.5	2.6	25.0	128.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +34.7%

MEM +4.4%

MEM +10.1%

MIL -0.1%

MEM +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	MEM	NBA	MIL	MEM	NBA
this game	14.6	16.4	15.1	87.4	105.5	104.2
season	14.5	15.9		100.5	103.8
opponent	15.2	15.7		100.8	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.1	14.6	14.8	13.0	14.6
MEM	16.6	15.5	15.8	17.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	51	49	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-15	17	14.6	14.5	0.12	17.1	15.6	1.48
Ersan Ilyasova	46	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-12	11	14.7	14.5	0.16	17.0	15.9	1.15
Khris Middleton	75	73	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-15	17	14.0	16.7	-2.74	16.7	15.2	1.49
Miles Plumlee	30	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-14	15	13.7	15.0	-1.25	15.7	16.8	-1.02
O.J. Mayo	15	13	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-4	-5	14.5	14.6	-0.15	14.9	16.7	-1.74
Tyler Ennis	71	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-6	-1	14.9	13.7	1.23	16.3	16.7	-0.43
Johnny O'Bryant	25	25	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-2	-9	14.5	14.6	-0.09	16.4	16.4	0.03
Chris Johnson	44	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-1	-11	14.4	14.8	-0.38	16.4	16.4	0.04
John Henson	42	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.02	-15	2	-17	14.9	14.3	0.57	15.7	16.9	-1.18
Giannis Antetokounmpo	76	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	2	-17	15.1	12.5	2.58	16.3	16.9	-0.64

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Calathes	34	36	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.00	16	-3	19	15.3	17.1	-1.84	14.3	14.8	-0.46
Kosta Koufos	34	37	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-2	17	15.4	17.1	-1.70	14.6	14.6	-0.04
Tony Allen	58	61	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.01	14	-1	15	16.7	15.8	0.89	14.8	14.1	0.69
Zach Randolph	65	67	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	1	11	16.5	16.3	0.15	15.1	13.3	1.80
Courtney Lee	55	56	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	3	7	16.4	16.4	0.05	14.9	14.1	0.83
Vince Carter	32	34	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	3	7	15.7	16.8	-1.03	13.4	15.3	-1.93
Jeff Green	52	54	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	15	-17	16.2	16.7	-0.57	14.3	15.0	-0.77
Marc Gasol	64	67	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	16	-19	17.0	15.1	1.86	14.4	15.0	-0.53
Beno Udrih	57	59	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	16	-19	17.1	15.3	1.84	14.8	14.3	0.46
JaMychal Green	4	4	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	17	-21	19.5	16.3	3.22	15.0	14.6	0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 72, TOR 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.8,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.8%
SAS 84, NJN 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
LAL 89, CHA 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%