inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 87 Excitement3.5 [1102] MVPPaul Pierce (WAS): +19.6%
Washington Wizards 107 Comeback2.3 [467] LVPBeno Udrih (MEM): -6.6%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jordan Adams0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08-0.060.08-0.07533%0.092-0.002100%0.05
Kosta Koufos0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.00-0.01862%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Vince Carter0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.00550%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jon Leuer0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.01-0.02850%0.032-0.02250%-0.00
Russ Smith-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.07340%-0.0030.004100%0.00
JaMychal Green-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.021154%0.043-0.05250%0.00
Jeff Green-0.050,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.000.01844%0.002-0.05250%-0.01
Nick Calathes-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.13-0.00-0.08920%-0.052-0.00250%-0.00
Jarnell Stokes-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.010.06662%0.013-0.07956%-0.01
Courtney Lee-0.060,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.001039%-0.031-0.033100%0.01
Beno Udrih-0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00744%-0.002-0.064100%0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.180.020.017106%0.2000.002100%0.01
John Wall0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.130.030.011178%0.192-0.04580%0.00
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.110.000.071661%0.0400.00450%-0.01
Ramon Sessions0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.00-0.03750%0.0310.00475%-0.01
Drew Gooden0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.02954%0.0200.00683%0.01
Martell Webster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05217%0.0010.00250%0.00
Toure Murry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0020.002100%0.00
Kevin Seraphin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Bradley Beal0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.09-0.00-0.081137%-0.0230.01250%-0.00
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.0320%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.010.000.04350%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Otto Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.13-0.00-0.091025%-0.032-0.01450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.82.037.017.436.33.032.3151.8
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +34.0%
MEM -7.8%
MEM -0.2%
WAS +25.8%
MEM -1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMWASNBAMEMWASNBA
this game15.214.415.189.7109.2104.2
season15.915.1103.8102.9
opponent15.315.2101.7100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM15.215.515.114.915.2
WAS14.211.715.516.414.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Russ Smith3030-0.01-0.490.48-0.103-232614.015.7-1.7515.713.81.87
Jon Leuer3332-0.04-0.460.43-0.123-232614.515.5-1.0515.713.72.05
Vince Carter1718-0.04-0.460.420.05-3-171414.815.2-0.4313.614.5-0.99
Nick Calathes5656-0.17-0.330.160.07-8-12414.516.1-1.6815.013.51.52
Jordan Adams4141-0.20-0.300.11-0.02-6-14814.215.9-1.6614.714.10.58
Jarnell Stokes4647-0.21-0.290.090.06-9-11214.515.8-1.3714.814.00.85
Kosta Koufos4849-0.29-0.21-0.080.06-12-8-416.114.31.8413.615.1-1.55
JaMychal Green6667-0.31-0.19-0.130.15-16-4-1215.215.10.1614.613.90.73
Beno Udrih5353-0.33-0.17-0.150.11-15-5-1015.914.31.6514.114.7-0.64
Jeff Green4546-0.45-0.05-0.390.05-17-3-1416.214.31.9513.015.6-2.58
Courtney Lee5051-0.46-0.04-0.420.13-200-2016.014.31.7413.615.2-1.58

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ramon Sessions57560.50-0.000.510.061551013.815.2-1.3814.715.8-1.13
Marcin Gortat77780.480.020.46-0.1321-12214.414.10.3515.812.73.10
Paul Pierce49480.470.030.43-0.122002012.915.8-2.9016.014.41.55
John Wall61600.440.060.38-0.2122-22413.815.4-1.6215.814.21.64
Otto Porter56570.350.150.21-0.03137614.713.90.8514.815.7-0.98
Drew Gooden54560.130.37-0.24-0.22128414.913.81.0815.414.90.43
Bradley Beal53520.060.44-0.370.06020-2015.712.82.9015.414.90.45
DeJuan Blair23210.030.47-0.430.21-626-3216.613.72.9314.115.5-1.38
Kevin Seraphin16150.020.48-0.460.05-121-2214.314.4-0.0712.315.7-3.44
Rasual Butler20190.010.49-0.49-0.02119-1812.914.7-1.8415.615.10.50
Martell Webster16160.000.50-0.50-0.06218-1614.214.4-0.1413.115.6-2.53
Toure Murry870.000.50-0.50-0.03119-1814.214.4-0.1315.015.2-0.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.77,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 87, ORL 1160.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.91,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
CHI 72, MIA 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
DEN 85, PHX 1010.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.84,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%