NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	84		Excitement	6.5 [505]		MVP	Solomon Hill (IND): +11.4%
Indiana Pacers	98		Comeback	1.3 [828]		LVP	Nikola Mirotic (CHI): -16.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	9	64%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Tony Snell	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.02	5	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	17	47%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	42%	0.02	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Joakim Noah	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	17	47%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	11	18%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	13	32%	-0.06	3	-0.10	5	80%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	10	67%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	12	42%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	0.03	7	58%	0.06	2	-0.05	10	60%	-0.02
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	40%	0.02	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	5	58%	0.03	3	-0.09	9	78%	0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	9	39%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.0	30.8	15.6	22.4	1.6	40.2	136.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +23.4%

IND +3.0%

IND +14.7%

IND +5.4%

IND +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	14.9	16.2	15.1	91.3	105.4	104.2
season	15.5	16.0		105.4	102.3
opponent	15.0	15.2		102.0	102.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.9	13.1	16.8	13.2	14.9
IND	15.0	18.2	16.7	15.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	59	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.06	-7	-7	0	15.4	14.1	1.28	16.7	15.4	1.31
Pau Gasol	65	64	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	0.11	-9	-5	-4	15.4	13.9	1.50	16.4	15.7	0.71
E'Twaun Moore	47	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-13	12	13.5	16.4	-2.91	15.5	17.0	-1.52
Nikola Mirotic	61	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-14	14	13.4	17.9	-4.51	16.4	15.9	0.51
Kirk Hinrich	46	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-15	16	14.0	15.8	-1.78	15.8	16.7	-0.91
Tony Snell	46	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.10	-13	-1	-12	16.1	13.8	2.30	17.2	15.3	1.94
Aaron Brooks	45	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	1	-16	16.1	13.7	2.39	16.5	16.0	0.49
Doug McDermott	33	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-7	0	14.1	15.4	-1.28	15.4	16.7	-1.31
Joakim Noah	58	59	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.09	-19	5	-24	16.0	13.0	2.99	15.8	16.9	-1.14

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	50	49	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.12	18	-4	22	16.3	16.2	0.10	16.1	13.6	2.50
Roy Hibbert	36	38	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.19	20	-6	26	16.2	16.2	0.01	16.8	13.6	3.24
Luis Scola	49	48	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.13	8	6	2	15.9	16.5	-0.63	13.8	16.1	-2.26
Damjan Rudez	25	23	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.21	5	9	-4	16.2	16.2	-0.08	14.0	15.2	-1.22
CJ Watson	50	48	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.11	8	6	2	15.5	17.0	-1.55	13.2	16.8	-3.65
Rodney Stuckey	65	64	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.10	5	9	-4	16.1	16.5	-0.36	13.3	18.5	-5.21
David West	46	45	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.10	8	6	2	16.7	15.7	1.04	16.0	13.9	2.08
Ian Mahinmi	55	53	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.33	-8	22	-30	16.0	16.5	-0.44	13.6	16.7	-3.04
George Hill	43	44	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	10	-6	17.0	15.5	1.46	16.6	13.4	3.17
Solomon Hill	46	48	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	12	-10	16.4	16.0	0.35	16.5	13.2	3.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 106, TOR 114	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.69,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.4%
NOK 103, PHX 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.72,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.98,0.94,0.98,1	92.2%
SAC 101, OKC 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.68,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.78,0.75,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.98,1	92.2%