NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	103		Excitement	7.5 [347]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +15.8%
Phoenix Suns	104		Comeback	1.6 [992]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (NOK): -8.8%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jannero Pargo	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	10	75%	0.20	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.08	0.02	11	52%	0.12	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Devin Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	14	61%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	9	67%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David West	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,-0.08	0.09	-0.16	0.01	15	58%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Bobby Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	8	44%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.06	-0.01	17	54%	0.16	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.02	0.03	9	85%	0.20	1	-0.12	2	0%	-0.02
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	13	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	15	47%	0.12	4	-0.14	8	75%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.04	-0.05	14	52%	0.05	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	24.4	15.6	22.0	1.8	30.1	118.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +32.2%

PHX +5.8%

PHX +8.8%

NOK -1.4%

PHX +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	PHX	NBA	NOK	PHX	NBA
this game	16.8	15.2	15.4	114.4	115.6	104.5
season	16.0	13.8		102.8	112.2
opponent	16.0	15.3		105.0	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	15.2	20.0	17.3	15.0	16.8
PHX	13.6	13.6	15.5	18.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Linton Johnson	34	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-4	7	15.8	17.4	-1.63	17.2	14.1	3.10
Bobby Jackson	38	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.17	2	-3	5	15.8	17.5	-1.68	16.9	13.9	3.06
Desmond Mason	56	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	2	-5	16.9	16.7	0.12	13.8	17.7	-3.91
Devin Brown	45	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-2	3	17.1	16.5	0.56	13.7	16.6	-2.82
Rasual Butler	26	26	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	5	-11	18.7	16.0	2.70	16.6	14.6	2.01
Chris Paul	71	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-2	3	16.5	18.2	-1.71	14.6	17.4	-2.76
Jannero Pargo	34	33	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.44	2	-3	5	16.7	16.9	-0.12	17.7	13.8	3.91
Tyson Chandler	75	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.39	0	-1	1	16.7	17.5	-0.87	15.0	16.1	-1.14
David West	71	73	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.45	-5	4	-9	17.5	14.4	3.03	14.5	18.1	-3.61

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	62	64	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.44	9	-8	17	14.7	16.3	-1.59	17.0	16.3	0.65
Amar'e Stoudemire	76	77	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.41	5	-4	9	14.9	16.6	-1.72	16.6	18.0	-1.39
Steve Nash	69	69	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.40	3	-2	5	14.6	17.0	-2.42	16.7	17.0	-0.31
Shawn Marion	59	59	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.21	6	-5	11	13.6	18.3	-4.73	17.3	15.8	1.53
Boris Diaw	68	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.21	5	-4	9	15.1	15.4	-0.23	17.5	14.7	2.76
Leandro Barbosa	57	56	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.57	-10	11	-21	17.0	12.1	4.94	15.4	19.1	-3.66
Kurt Thomas	14	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	5	-9	16.6	14.9	1.72	18.0	16.6	1.39
Eric Piatkowski	13	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.03	-4	5	-9	16.5	15.0	1.49	18.2	16.6	1.56
James Jones	32	32	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	6	-11	16.7	14.3	2.42	16.1	17.2	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.72,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.98,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 108, NJN 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.87,0.81,0.96,0.94,0.98,1	92.8%
NYK 98, IND 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.7%
SAC 101, OKC 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.68,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.78,0.75,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.98,1	92.6%