NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	92		Excitement	4.6 [888]		MVP	CJ Miles (IND): +13.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	105		Comeback	1.0 [1107]		LVP	Rodney Stuckey (IND): -11.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	14	72%	0.20	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Damjan Rudez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.01	0.05	8	61%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
George Hill	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	12	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
David West	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	13	39%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	8	31%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.01	0.02	11	88%	0.22	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.00	10	62%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Mitch McGary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.01	-0.07	7	47%	0.10	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	18	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.14,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	19	49%	0.08	5	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.5	26.2	15.8	29.4	0.2	23.2	119.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +27.3%

OKC +17.8%

OKC +9.3%

IND -1.6%

IND -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	OKC	NBA	IND	OKC	NBA
this game	15.5	13.9	15.1	93.9	107.1	104.2
season	16.0	14.5		102.3	105.7
opponent	15.0	15.0		103.5	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.5	15.6	15.6	14.2	15.5
OKC	11.6	13.8	13.8	16.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	50	50	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.10	6	-19	25	16.5	14.5	1.94	13.2	14.6	-1.42
Chris Copeland	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-23	33	11.9	15.9	-3.99	20.9	13.2	7.72
Lavoy Allen	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-23	33	11.9	15.9	-3.99	20.9	13.2	7.72
Donald Sloan	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-23	33	11.9	15.9	-3.99	20.9	13.2	7.72
George Hill	61	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-7	1	16.4	14.0	2.43	12.8	15.6	-2.85
CJ Miles	55	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-11	9	16.1	14.7	1.36	12.8	15.4	-2.64
Solomon Hill	48	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-18	23	16.0	15.0	1.00	14.5	13.3	1.22
Luis Scola	42	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.20	-14	1	-15	14.5	16.3	-1.85	14.4	13.5	0.92
David West	52	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-2	-9	16.7	14.1	2.64	12.2	15.8	-3.55
Damjan Rudez	38	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-6	-1	13.7	16.7	-3.03	15.7	12.8	2.89
CJ Watson	29	29	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.17	-19	6	-25	15.1	15.7	-0.53	13.8	13.9	-0.07
Rodney Stuckey	54	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.17	-20	7	-27	15.5	15.5	0.02	13.3	14.5	-1.21
Ian Mahinmi	34	34	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.22	-27	14	-41	15.4	15.5	-0.11	13.1	14.3	-1.21

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Waiters	60	61	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.08	16	-3	19	14.2	13.4	0.83	15.0	16.3	-1.22
Nick Collison	42	41	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.21	23	-10	33	13.0	14.5	-1.54	15.2	15.7	-0.54
Anthony Morrow	41	43	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.28	23	-10	33	13.7	14.0	-0.38	15.5	15.5	-0.08
Mitch McGary	39	39	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	2	9	15.0	13.2	1.82	14.1	16.4	-2.34
D.J. Augustin	51	51	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	7	-1	15.3	12.4	2.91	14.0	17.1	-3.15
Andre Roberson	38	37	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	5	3	11.7	15.3	-3.63	16.5	14.9	1.53
Serge Ibaka	58	59	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	9	-5	13.4	14.6	-1.22	16.4	14.1	2.34
Russell Westbrook	57	57	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	13	-13	13.0	15.1	-2.14	16.8	13.8	3.02
Jeremy Lamb	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	23	-33	20.9	13.2	7.72	11.9	15.9	-3.99
Perry Jones	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	23	-33	20.9	13.2	7.72	11.9	15.9	-3.99
Enes Kanter	48	48	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	15	-17	13.0	14.7	-1.64	16.5	14.6	1.86
Kyle Singler	38	36	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	17	-21	13.6	14.0	-0.40	16.4	15.0	1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 104, SAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.56,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.98,1,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
TOR 89, BOS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
DET 69, IND 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%