NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	110		Excitement	7.5 [321]		MVP	Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (CHA): +11.7%
Charlotte Hornets	103		Comeback	1.3 [807]		LVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): -14.3%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Collison	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	2	100%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Serge Ibaka	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	14	57%	0.15	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mitch McGary	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	60%	0.07	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	52%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Kyle Singler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	9	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.06
Dion Waiters	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.00	15	31%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.21,-0.13,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	27	52%	0.06	6	-0.15	9	100%	0.04

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.00	14	62%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Mo Williams	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.03	17	65%	0.23	5	-0.14	3	100%	0.03
Cody Zeller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	9	59%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	8	44%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.05	0.04	18	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	9	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	10	27%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	27.4	15.4	29.2	2.5	29.3	128.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +12.1%

OKC +3.3%

OKC +38.3%

CHA -5.1%

OKC +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	CHA	NBA	OKC	CHA	NBA
this game	14.0	15.2	15.1	111.1	105.1	104.2
season	14.5	15.6		105.7	98.9
opponent	15.1	15.0		102.6	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.3	13.4	12.7	15.9	14.0
CHA	13.9	15.4	15.5	16.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	45	44	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.19	10	-3	13	14.9	13.3	1.56	15.7	14.8	0.83
Dion Waiters	65	64	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.37	4	3	1	14.3	13.6	0.73	15.4	14.8	0.67
Enes Kanter	65	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	-1	9	13.7	14.7	-0.97	15.2	15.1	0.11
Serge Ibaka	68	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.17	7	0	7	13.9	14.3	-0.41	15.3	14.9	0.39
Russell Westbrook	73	74	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	5	-3	13.7	15.1	-1.46	14.9	16.0	-1.11
Kyle Singler	37	37	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	3	1	13.7	14.2	-0.54	15.9	14.8	1.06
Andre Roberson	34	33	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	3	1	13.1	14.5	-1.36	13.5	16.1	-2.55
Mitch McGary	31	31	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	7	-7	14.3	13.9	0.41	14.9	15.3	-0.39
Nick Collison	34	31	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	8	-9	14.7	13.7	0.97	15.1	15.2	-0.11
Anthony Morrow	43	42	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	10	-13	14.4	13.7	0.67	15.6	14.9	0.68

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Zeller	41	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-5	3	15.6	14.9	0.61	13.5	14.4	-0.94
Gerald Henderson	67	70	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-7	7	15.5	14.5	0.96	14.2	13.8	0.40
Jeff Taylor	8	7	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	2	-11	17.0	15.0	1.96	11.9	14.2	-2.35
Brian Roberts	24	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	-1	-5	16.6	14.7	1.88	16.4	13.3	3.08
Jason Maxiell	28	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-2	-3	15.4	15.1	0.21	15.5	13.4	2.09
Mo Williams	79	80	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.31	2	-9	11	14.6	17.7	-3.08	13.7	15.5	-1.77
Al Jefferson	70	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-6	5	15.1	15.4	-0.21	13.4	15.5	-2.09
Lance Stephenson	54	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-1	-5	15.5	14.8	0.70	14.1	14.0	0.16
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	62	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-5	3	14.6	16.3	-1.70	13.6	14.7	-1.10
Marvin Williams	57	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-1	-5	14.9	15.6	-0.61	14.4	13.5	0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.46,0.28,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 97, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.31,0.24,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0	93.1%
UTA 97, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.28,0.19,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.0%
HOU 105, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.16,0.23,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.01,0.01,0	92.6%