NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	4.9 [829]		MVP	Tony Snell (CHI): +18.6%
Chicago Bulls	113		Comeback	1.4 [570]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -9.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan Thompson	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	5	100%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	6	72%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
James Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	18	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	10	38%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	6	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.09	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	26	53%	0.09	8	-0.18	6	83%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Snell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.23	0.02	0.06	11	100%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.04	-0.04	24	56%	0.15	2	-0.00	6	100%	0.03
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	16	49%	0.07	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	45%	-0.01	1	-0.00	10	60%	-0.03
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	0.04	12	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	3.5	29.4	20.3	31.3	2.8	32.2	144.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +15.8%

CHI +2.6%

CHI +2.2%

CHI +28.4%

CHI +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	14.4	15.0	15.1	100.0	115.3	104.2
season	15.9	15.5		108.7	105.4
opponent	15.2	14.9		102.5	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.8	16.9	13.6	12.5	14.4
CHI	15.2	14.4	15.9	14.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Iman Shumpert	44	43	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.18	8	-23	31	14.6	14.1	0.49	16.1	14.2	1.87
Mike Miller	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-15	15	12.4	14.5	-2.07	18.2	14.8	3.35
Shawn Marion	13	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-12	9	17.8	13.8	4.01	16.3	14.8	1.48
James Jones	64	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-12	9	13.1	16.8	-3.72	14.9	15.2	-0.32
Timofey Mozgov	53	57	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-9	3	13.7	15.2	-1.54	15.4	14.5	0.87
J.R. Smith	63	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-9	3	14.8	13.6	1.24	14.7	15.7	-0.99
Matthew Dellavedova	32	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	-1	-13	14.4	14.3	0.06	14.4	15.3	-0.91
Kyrie Irving	80	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-9	3	14.1	15.5	-1.39	15.0	15.1	-0.05
Tristan Thompson	66	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.08	-18	3	-21	15.5	12.0	3.47	14.5	15.9	-1.35
LeBron James	70	70	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	0.15	-27	12	-39	14.2	14.7	-0.54	14.8	15.7	-0.92

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Snell	76	77	0.68	-0.18	0.86	-0.17	29	-14	43	14.8	15.6	-0.79	14.5	13.9	0.59
Joakim Noah	62	62	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.14	27	-12	39	15.0	15.1	-0.19	15.7	12.1	3.52
Derrick Rose	85	84	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.26	3	12	-9	15.4	12.8	2.51	13.9	16.9	-2.99
Aaron Brooks	37	37	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	3	9	13.6	15.9	-2.20	15.3	13.8	1.54
Taj Gibson	66	66	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	12	-9	14.8	15.5	-0.71	14.1	15.0	-0.94
Pau Gasol	66	66	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	18	-21	15.5	13.9	1.61	13.4	16.3	-2.89
Nikola Mirotic	38	37	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	11	-7	15.5	14.7	0.78	14.3	14.4	-0.07
Mike Dunleavy	58	59	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	18	-21	15.3	14.6	0.75	14.2	14.6	-0.33
Doug McDermott	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	12	-9	7.5	15.2	-7.68	15.5	14.3	1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
SAS 85, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
CHA 80, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%