NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	89		Excitement	5.7 [672]		MVP	Marreese Speights (GSW): +10.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	84		Comeback	2.1 [1049]		LVP	Tim Frazier (PHI): -27.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.01	8	62%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	7	76%	0.12	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Andre Iguodala	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	11	54%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	20	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	10	45%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	14	41%	-0.00	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
David Lee	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Henry Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	71%	0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	8	61%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
KJ McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	6	38%	-0.01	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	0.07	-0.07	0.08	15	64%	0.02	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	13	46%	0.01	5	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.22	-0.07	-0.03	9	0%	-0.14	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.16	-0.09	0.03	11	42%	-0.08	7	-0.20	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	31.2	16.4	23.3	2.4	39.5	136.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +22.3%

PHI -7.6%

PHI -13.3%

GSW +46.2%

GSW +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHI	NBA	GSW	PHI	NBA
this game	13.5	14.9	15.1	87.3	83.2	104.2
season	13.6	14.9		109.2	94.3
opponent	14.8	15.5		103.4	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.6	14.0	13.4	15.0	13.5
PHI	14.7	16.0	16.0	13.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	66	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	2	1	13.2	13.9	-0.70	14.3	16.0	-1.75
Andrew Bogut	59	60	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.19	7	-2	9	14.9	11.5	3.45	16.0	13.3	2.66
Stephen Curry	64	64	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	5	-5	14.0	12.5	1.57	15.5	13.9	1.58
Klay Thompson	62	61	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	4	-3	13.1	14.0	-0.89	15.0	14.7	0.32
Draymond Green	58	57	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	1	3	12.9	14.2	-1.35	15.9	13.7	2.24
Shaun Livingston	37	37	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	-1	7	12.8	13.8	-1.06	13.9	15.5	-1.58
Leandro Barbosa	44	43	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	3	-1	12.8	14.0	-1.17	14.2	15.4	-1.20
Marreese Speights	35	33	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	2	1	12.6	13.9	-1.35	13.8	15.5	-1.64
David Lee	40	41	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	4	-3	13.9	13.1	0.80	14.1	15.5	-1.34
Harrison Barnes	45	45	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	7	-9	13.8	13.2	0.57	15.2	14.7	0.46

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry Sims	30	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-2	-1	13.8	15.4	-1.59	11.4	14.2	-2.85
Robert Covington	65	66	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-9	13	15.0	14.8	0.18	13.9	12.6	1.27
KJ McDaniels	38	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	7	-19	14.1	15.4	-1.27	11.6	14.6	-2.95
JaKarr Sampson	58	58	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-2	-1	15.2	14.6	0.55	13.0	14.0	-1.03
Hollis Thompson	59	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-4	3	14.5	15.5	-1.03	13.0	14.1	-1.05
Luc Mbah a Moute	71	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-7	9	15.2	14.2	1.03	14.1	12.0	2.07
Jerami Grant	48	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	1	-7	14.8	15.0	-0.21	13.3	13.6	-0.26
Nerlens Noel	63	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-1	-3	15.6	13.8	1.73	14.4	11.8	2.63
Tim Frazier	73	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.40	-2	-3	1	15.1	14.4	0.68	14.2	11.6	2.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.18,0.29,0.26,0.13,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.02,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 99, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.18,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	94.7%
DAL 99, LAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.0%
GSW 107, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%