NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	99		Excitement	4.9 [840]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +9.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	91		Comeback	2.3 [149]		LVP	Metta World Peace (LAL): -15.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	12	65%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.05	-0.04	10	36%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandan Wright	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.00	0.04	5	93%	0.13	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	11	48%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	12	42%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	13	43%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.01	0.04	14	79%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	56%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	19	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.04	-0.05	12	50%	0.07	3	-0.07	14	21%	-0.13
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	17%	-0.11
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	9	39%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.04	-0.03	8	17%	-0.11	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.8	31.5	19.5	28.3	2.7	36.2	145.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +26.9%

DAL +17.5%

DAL +1.9%

DAL +3.5%

DAL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	15.2	16.9	15.4	110.0	102.2	104.1
season	14.5	14.9		104.3	106.0
opponent	15.3	15.6		105.7	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.9	16.4	14.4	16.5	15.2
LAL	16.8	17.1	18.4	15.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	66	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.23	7	1	6	16.1	12.9	3.17	16.9	17.2	-0.31
Vince Carter	48	47	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-5	18	16.1	14.3	1.75	17.8	16.0	1.74
Rodrigue Beaubois	29	28	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	-1	10	15.2	15.3	-0.11	18.8	16.1	2.69
Eddy Curry	33	31	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	2	4	12.8	16.7	-3.88	18.4	16.2	2.26
Darren Collison	62	62	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	8	-8	15.3	15.1	0.20	16.1	18.9	-2.74
O.J. Mayo	61	61	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	9	-10	15.3	15.2	0.11	16.1	18.8	-2.69
Brandan Wright	35	35	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	4	0	16.1	14.7	1.38	17.8	16.4	1.46
Jae Crowder	37	35	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	6	-4	14.7	15.6	-0.92	17.7	16.4	1.27
Shawn Marion	64	64	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.19	-2	10	-12	15.4	14.9	0.51	15.4	20.9	-5.47
Dahntay Jones	15	16	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	6	-4	12.8	15.7	-2.93	17.7	16.8	0.98

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	32	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-8	8	14.4	18.4	-4.01	13.1	16.5	-3.45
Steve Blake	26	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.02	-5	-3	-2	18.2	16.4	1.71	13.3	16.1	-2.79
Jodie Meeks	25	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-1	-6	16.7	17.0	-0.37	13.6	16.0	-2.36
Pau Gasol	74	75	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-11	14	16.6	18.8	-2.23	15.7	13.1	2.53
Jordan Hill	28	28	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	1	-10	18.1	16.4	1.70	12.9	16.3	-3.36
Kobe Bryant	64	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-7	6	17.0	16.7	0.37	16.0	13.6	2.36
Steve Nash	63	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-5	2	16.4	18.2	-1.71	16.1	13.3	2.79
Metta World Peace	66	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-3	-2	16.9	17.2	-0.31	15.8	13.6	2.27
Dwight Howard	67	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	5	-18	18.2	13.2	5.00	16.2	12.3	3.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 99, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.18,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	95.3%
CHI 89, ATL 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
WAS 95, NYK 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.7%