NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	95		Excitement	8.5 [180]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (SAS): +44.0%
Indiana Pacers	93		Comeback	21.9 [87]		LVP	Danny Green (SAS): -39.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.44	0.11	0.33	0.00	6	86%	0.44	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aron Baynes	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.15	0.02	0.13	0.00	3	67%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	13	56%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Bonner	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	12	40%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,-0.01,-0.18,-0.18	-0.00	-0.17	0.01	17	49%	-0.10	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.06
Danny Green	-0.39	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.25,-0.39	-0.08	-0.30	0.01	9	36%	-0.35	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	5	83%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.01	13	64%	0.23	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	62%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shayne Whittington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.10	0.02	7	50%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.13	0.01	13	38%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.02	-0.15	0.01	14	43%	-0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.33	-0.33	-0.09	-0.24	-0.00	10	42%	-0.11	4	-0.22	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	26.4	15.7	24.3	2.5	33.2	126.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +11.0%

SAS +9.6%

IND -0.9%

SAS +29.6%

SAS +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	IND	NBA	SAS	IND	NBA
this game	15.7	15.4	15.1	102.2	101.1	104.2
season	15.4	16.0		106.9	102.3
opponent	15.0	14.9		102.0	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.5	15.0	18.2	14.0	15.7
IND	14.5	17.0	13.1	17.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	60	58	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.63	6	-4	10	16.1	15.0	1.13	15.1	16.0	-0.94
Tony Parker	60	58	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.63	6	-4	10	16.1	15.0	1.13	15.1	16.0	-0.94
Kawhi Leonard	61	59	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.63	0	2	-2	16.6	14.0	2.54	14.9	16.4	-1.54
Danny Green	65	65	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.53	3	-1	4	15.6	16.0	-0.48	14.7	17.1	-2.37
Aron Baynes	26	24	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.25	11	-9	20	13.8	16.4	-2.63	17.2	14.8	2.46
Matt Bonner	22	22	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	-1	4	17.1	15.3	1.88	13.9	15.9	-2.01
Cory Joseph	11	11	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.14	6	-4	10	14.0	15.9	-1.93	18.5	15.0	3.53
Marco Belinelli	49	50	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	5	-8	15.2	16.3	-1.09	16.0	14.7	1.33
Tiago Splitter	25	27	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.07	-7	9	-16	16.0	15.6	0.36	14.9	15.7	-0.77
Patty Mills	33	34	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.19	-4	6	-10	15.0	16.1	-1.13	16.0	15.1	0.94
Boris Diaw	53	52	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	-0.15	-11	13	-24	15.5	16.0	-0.57	16.2	14.5	1.70

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	38	38	0.32	-0.82	1.15	0.15	6	-8	14	15.6	15.3	0.25	14.1	16.8	-2.69
Solomon Hill	34	34	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.15	3	-5	8	16.0	15.1	0.94	14.9	16.2	-1.33
Luis Scola	41	41	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.19	-2	0	-2	15.8	15.2	0.58	13.9	17.1	-3.21
Shayne Whittington	18	18	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.04	-1	-1	0	17.4	14.9	2.50	13.6	16.2	-2.66
Damjan Rudez	23	23	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	11	-24	17.3	14.8	2.43	12.3	16.8	-4.45
David West	64	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.53	6	-8	14	14.7	17.1	-2.46	16.7	13.5	3.20
Rodney Stuckey	67	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.55	6	-8	14	14.6	17.6	-3.03	16.1	14.7	1.39
CJ Miles	60	62	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.60	0	-2	2	15.3	15.7	-0.34	16.7	13.6	3.13
Roy Hibbert	61	63	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.51	-7	5	-12	15.4	15.5	-0.07	16.7	13.6	3.10
George Hill	54	55	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	-0.59	-8	6	-14	15.3	15.6	-0.25	16.8	14.1	2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.75,0.55,0.78,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 81, MEM 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.49,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.64,0.76,0.42,0	90.8%
MIL 115, GSW 110	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.67,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.77,0.9,0.83,0.75,0.83,0.69,0.46,0.67,0.58,0	90.1%
CHI 105, NYK 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.35,0.3,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.61,0.55,0.79,0.84,0.63,0	90.0%