NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	105		Excitement	8.9 [129]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (CHI): +26.8%
New York Knicks	103		Comeback	10.1 [147]		LVP	Chris Childs (NYK): -19.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0.27	0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.18	0.08	-0.02	19	72%	0.28	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Michael Jordan	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.01,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.19,0.12	0.01	0.11	-0.01	26	55%	0.21	3	-0.09	10	90%	0.11
Jud Buechler	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	2	150%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Parish	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Steve Kerr	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Luc Longley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.04	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.08
Ron Harper	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	19%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	7	25%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Bison Dele	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	11	25%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	15	50%	0.12	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.04	0.02	11	64%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	11	61%	0.04	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.05
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	14	57%	0.07	4	-0.12	7	86%	0.06
Allan Houston	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	13	54%	-0.02	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.2	-0.20	-0.04	-0.17	-0.01	8	67%	0.11	5	-0.31	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.6	22.7	15.7	23.7	1.8	37.4	131.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -16.1%

CHI +29.7%

NYK -5.1%

CHI +37.5%

CHI +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	16.4	13.8	15.6	110.5	107.3	104.4
season	15.5	15.1		110.5	102.0
opponent	16.1	16.1		98.8	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.3	18.1	14.8	16.4	16.4
NYK	13.1	12.4	14.0	15.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Kerr	49	49	0.95	-0.45	1.39	0.48	16	-14	30	16.6	16.2	0.37	13.4	14.1	-0.72
Luc Longley	49	50	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.57	0	2	-2	16.7	16.1	0.59	13.8	13.7	0.17
Michael Jordan	87	88	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.43	2	0	2	16.3	17.4	-1.05	14.1	10.4	3.69
Jud Buechler	30	30	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.15	10	-8	18	17.7	15.8	1.93	14.6	13.4	1.27
Scottie Pippen	76	78	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.46	-6	8	-14	15.8	19.0	-3.24	13.6	14.4	-0.77
Jason Caffey	61	60	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	4	-6	17.0	15.3	1.69	13.6	14.0	-0.34
Bison Dele	33	33	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.11	6	-4	10	16.6	16.3	0.25	14.1	13.6	0.46
Dickey Simpkins	26	28	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.05	0	2	-2	15.3	16.8	-1.52	13.5	13.9	-0.37
Robert Parish	13	13	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	6	-10	14.9	16.6	-1.72	12.7	13.9	-1.24
Ron Harper	51	51	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.01	-12	14	-26	16.4	16.4	0.00	13.6	14.0	-0.41

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	76	74	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.05	6	-8	14	13.5	14.6	-1.12	16.0	18.0	-2.04
Buck Williams	40	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	1	-4	14.2	13.5	0.71	16.4	16.4	0.04
Charlie Ward	23	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	6	-14	13.8	13.8	0.03	18.7	15.7	2.96
Chris Childs	78	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.47	4	-6	10	14.0	12.6	1.48	15.9	18.6	-2.72
Larry Johnson	70	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.39	-2	0	-2	13.4	14.6	-1.17	16.3	16.8	-0.58
Patrick Ewing	80	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.50	1	-3	4	13.6	14.4	-0.74	16.1	18.1	-1.97
Charles Oakley	72	71	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.47	-2	0	-2	13.7	14.0	-0.37	16.7	15.4	1.33
John Starks	41	41	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.56	-6	4	-10	14.2	13.4	0.76	17.2	15.8	1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.35,0.3,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.61,0.55,0.79,0.84,0.63,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 89, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.55,0.42,0	90.7%
TOR 89, MIL 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.72,0.76,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.67,0.42,0	90.5%
UTA 88, ORL 86	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.28,0	90.0%