NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	90		Excitement	3.2 [1134]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): +17.3%
Utah Jazz	102		Comeback	1.0 [902]		LVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): -8.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	61%	0.02	2	-0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Carl Landry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	5	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ray McCallum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	7	35%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	24	46%	-0.01	4	-0.04	11	64%	-0.01
Ben McLemore	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.01	0.07	15	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	0.00	0.05	9	46%	-0.06	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	8	22%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.02	-0.01	23	64%	0.21	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.00	-0.07	5	50%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	17	54%	0.05	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	12	40%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	5	90%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Elijah Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	58%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	16	47%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	28.2	15.7	28.3	1.8	31.7	132.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +55.8%

SAC -0.0%

UTA +0.5%

SAC -5.0%

SAC -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	16.6	16.3	15.1	103.4	115.9	104.2
season	14.9	16.2		103.7	103.8
opponent	15.3	14.8		103.7	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	18.6	17.5	13.5	17.1	16.6
UTA	15.7	16.0	17.8	15.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nik Stauskas	19	21	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.25	9	-21	30	17.8	16.3	1.48	14.9	16.7	-1.81
Carl Landry	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	20.0	16.2	3.76	17.3	16.2	1.15
Quincy Miller	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-17	22	16.5	16.6	-0.14	13.2	16.5	-3.27
Reggie Evans	41	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.27	9	-21	30	16.3	16.9	-0.64	17.0	15.7	1.31
Omri Casspi	45	43	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.26	8	-20	28	16.5	16.8	-0.34	16.9	15.7	1.17
Ray McCallum	32	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-15	18	15.8	17.1	-1.30	15.8	16.6	-0.79
Ramon Sessions	55	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	3	-18	17.1	15.8	1.30	16.6	15.8	0.79
Ben McLemore	56	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	5	-22	17.1	15.7	1.38	16.4	16.1	0.23
DeMarcus Cousins	67	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	-1	-10	16.1	18.4	-2.36	16.6	15.1	1.50
Rudy Gay	54	55	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.13	-22	10	-32	15.9	17.9	-2.06	16.0	16.7	-0.66
Jason Thompson	53	51	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.34	-31	19	-50	17.0	16.0	0.99	15.6	17.2	-1.56

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	69	68	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.12	23	-11	34	16.4	16.0	0.36	16.4	17.5	-1.08
Derrick Favors	59	60	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.22	26	-14	40	15.7	17.4	-1.68	16.7	16.4	0.33
Dante Exum	63	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.14	21	-9	30	16.2	16.5	-0.33	16.7	16.4	0.33
Elijah Millsap	66	67	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	1	10	16.0	17.0	-0.95	16.6	16.8	-0.28
Enes Kanter	60	59	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.13	8	4	4	16.9	15.0	1.88	16.5	16.9	-0.44
Trey Burke	46	45	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.29	-6	18	-24	17.0	15.5	1.55	16.6	16.7	-0.07
Trevor Booker	22	22	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	14	-16	15.6	16.5	-0.92	17.1	16.5	0.67
Rudy Gobert	32	31	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	16	-20	16.7	16.0	0.68	16.7	16.6	0.12
Ian Clark	6	4	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.17	-7	19	-26	11.7	16.6	-4.96	16.5	16.6	-0.14
Steve Novak	17	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.24	-10	22	-32	16.8	16.2	0.60	16.9	16.6	0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 85, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
SAS 80, GSW 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	96.8%
MIL 92, LAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%