NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	92		Excitement	3.0 [1177]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +10.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	105		Comeback	1.0 [1303]		LVP	Luc Mbah a Moute (MIL): -10.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	12	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	5	50%	0.00	3	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Tyronn Lue	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	11	40%	-0.00	2	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Malik Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Alexander	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.07	10	65%	-0.01	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	39%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	10	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	8	35%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Redd	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.00	-0.01	0.09	10	56%	-0.05	3	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.01	0.04	10	86%	0.12	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	92%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	13	57%	0.10	4	-0.06	9	89%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.04	3	-0.04	8	100%	0.02
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	80%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sun Yue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	9	58%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	4	20%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	6	37%	-0.04	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	0.00	-0.06	3	30%	-0.03	5	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	28.7	16.0	31.1	1.8	35.0	138.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +32.2%

LAL +6.5%

LAL +8.0%

LAL +2.4%

LAL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAL	NBA	MIL	LAL	NBA
this game	15.9	13.2	15.5	93.9	105.0	106.4
season	15.0	14.9		104.9	110.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		102.6	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.8	17.0	17.1	13.1	15.9
LAL	13.2	15.1	11.3	13.5	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	34	34	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-15	17	15.9	15.9	-0.05	13.3	13.2	0.05
Tyronn Lue	45	45	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.30	9	-22	31	15.0	16.7	-1.68	12.6	13.8	-1.23
Malik Allen	8	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-8	3	18.1	15.7	2.44	11.4	13.4	-1.94
Ramon Sessions	58	59	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.34	9	-22	31	15.1	17.0	-1.88	13.9	12.3	1.59
Francisco Elson	44	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.37	8	-21	29	15.6	16.1	-0.50	12.4	13.9	-1.47
Joe Alexander	50	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.38	8	-21	29	15.8	16.0	-0.26	13.4	13.1	0.29
Richard Jefferson	19	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.15	-13	0	-13	16.2	15.8	0.34	13.3	13.2	0.09
Luc Mbah a Moute	67	67	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-11	9	15.4	17.0	-1.58	13.1	13.6	-0.52
Charlie Villanueva	37	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	2	-17	15.7	16.0	-0.25	14.1	12.6	1.49
Michael Redd	42	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.24	-20	7	-27	15.9	15.9	-0.01	13.2	13.2	0.04
Luke Ridnour	41	42	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.19	-21	8	-29	17.1	15.0	2.16	13.0	13.4	-0.44
Andrew Bogut	45	47	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.22	-25	12	-37	17.4	14.6	2.88	13.6	12.9	0.65

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	59	58	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.13	22	-9	31	12.7	13.9	-1.18	17.4	13.7	3.61
Kobe Bryant	62	63	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.23	25	-12	37	13.2	13.3	-0.14	16.8	14.3	2.45
Derek Fisher	49	49	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.32	26	-13	39	12.4	14.0	-1.61	17.1	14.7	2.35
Vladimir Radmanovic	49	49	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.34	26	-13	39	12.4	14.0	-1.61	17.1	14.7	2.35
Andrew Bynum	62	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.28	21	-8	29	13.0	13.6	-0.52	16.3	15.2	1.17
Lamar Odom	46	44	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	12	-11	13.5	13.0	0.50	15.5	16.2	-0.62
Trevor Ariza	46	45	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.43	-12	25	-37	14.2	12.4	1.71	15.0	16.7	-1.72
Jordan Farmar	43	41	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.17	-4	17	-21	14.1	12.6	1.51	15.5	16.2	-0.65
Josh Powell	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	22	-31	14.0	13.1	0.93	13.1	16.5	-3.35
Chris Mihm	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	22	-31	14.2	13.0	1.14	12.7	16.5	-3.75
Sun Yue	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	23	-33	13.3	13.2	0.09	11.1	16.6	-5.47
Sasha Vujacic	38	35	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.35	-12	25	-37	13.3	13.2	0.14	14.3	16.8	-2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, DET 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
ORL 76, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
SAS 69, CHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%