NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	111		Excitement	5.6 [687]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +24.8%
Houston Rockets	117		Comeback	1.1 [1091]		LVP	Brandon Knight (MIL): -12.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jorge Gutierrez	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.01	0.05	5	100%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.06	0.12	-0.01	0.04	16	71%	0.17	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Jared Dudley	0.05	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	10	54%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Johnny O'Bryant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	9	67%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	13	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	10	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	11	42%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Brandon Knight	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	14	43%	-0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25	0.25	0.18	0.07	0.00	14	73%	0.31	3	-0.07	17	71%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.04	0.03	21	57%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	83%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	82%	0.14	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	8	70%	0.10	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	4	11%	-0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	8	55%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	9	30%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	28.4	15.0	25.0	1.5	41.3	135.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +44.2%

HOU +1.4%

HOU +4.6%

MIL -3.8%

HOU +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	HOU	NBA	MIL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.5	13.7	15.1	108.8	114.7	104.2
season	14.5	14.3		100.5	105.6
opponent	14.9	15.7		103.1	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.6	13.2	16.0	12.6	14.5
HOU	12.8	15.0	14.0	13.1	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jorge Gutierrez	34	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.23	6	-12	18	14.6	14.5	0.15	13.6	13.7	-0.06
Johnny O'Bryant	23	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-5	4	17.2	13.8	3.39	12.4	14.0	-1.69
Ersan Ilyasova	36	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-6	6	13.9	14.9	-1.02	12.8	14.2	-1.40
John Henson	44	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-1	-4	15.4	13.9	1.43	14.4	13.2	1.27
Jerryd Bayless	44	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-6	6	13.9	15.0	-1.09	13.3	14.0	-0.69
Khris Middleton	59	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-4	2	13.8	15.5	-1.66	13.8	13.5	0.30
Jared Dudley	53	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	6	-18	15.8	13.2	2.55	13.7	13.7	0.04
Brandon Knight	77	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-3	0	13.7	17.0	-3.30	14.1	12.2	1.88
O.J. Mayo	69	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-2	-2	14.3	15.1	-0.76	13.3	14.5	-1.27
Giannis Antetokounmpo	71	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	3	-12	14.6	14.3	0.33	14.1	12.5	1.68

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	84	83	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-3	12	14.0	12.4	1.58	14.6	14.2	0.48
Josh Smith	70	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.27	6	0	6	13.0	15.2	-2.28	14.8	14.1	0.71
Patrick Beverley	75	73	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.26	3	3	0	14.1	12.6	1.54	14.8	14.0	0.82
Corey Brewer	56	59	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.29	2	4	-2	13.2	14.3	-1.09	13.3	16.2	-2.87
Terrence Jones	41	43	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	-3	12	13.1	14.1	-1.03	15.6	13.8	1.87
Trevor Ariza	83	81	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.35	-5	11	-16	14.0	12.4	1.62	14.5	14.6	-0.09
Jason Terry	28	29	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	3	0	12.3	14.2	-1.88	14.0	14.8	-0.82
Joey Dorsey	20	20	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	1	4	14.6	13.5	1.20	13.9	14.7	-0.75
Donatas Motiejunas	53	52	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	8	-10	14.5	12.8	1.67	14.8	14.2	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.73,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.76,0.78,0.91,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 100, LAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.76,0.82,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.9,1,1,1	94.0%
MIN 92, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.85,0.9,0.97,1,1	94.0%
IND 95, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.9%