NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	109		Excitement	7.5 [328]		MVP	CJ Miles (IND): +25.4%
Indiana Pacers	114		Comeback	1.5 [777]		LVP	D.J. Augustin (DET): -25.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.00	7	76%	0.25	1	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
John Lucas III	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.05	-0.01	6	83%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	15	60%	0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	5	86%	0.16	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Joel Anthony	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	44%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.06	0.03	15	47%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Jodie Meeks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.05	-0.01	12	52%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Cartier Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.26	-0.08	-0.16	0.02	14	39%	-0.11	3	-0.15	3	100%	0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.09	0.18	0.02	7	83%	0.29	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
George Hill	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.14	-0.00	12	62%	0.25	1	-0.04	8	37%	-0.05
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.08	-0.00	8	87%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.05	-0.03	5	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	10	70%	0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shayne Whittington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	3	75%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.00	11	73%	0.15	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.0	26.1	15.6	27.6	2.0	33.1	129.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +75.9%

DET -16.9%

DET -3.5%

DET -8.9%

IND +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	IND	NBA	DET	IND	NBA
this game	32.7	31.0	15.1	119.8	126.7	104.2
season	15.7	16.0		104.0	102.3
opponent	15.0	15.3		102.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	19.1	15.3	15.6	15.8	16.3
IND	16.9	16.8	13.8	14.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	42	42	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.04	9	-14	23	14.5	17.9	-3.44	15.3	15.7	-0.38
Cartier Martin	23	21	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.09	6	-11	17	14.3	17.0	-2.65	15.5	15.5	-0.02
John Lucas III	33	31	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.00	3	-8	11	14.9	17.2	-2.28	14.4	16.1	-1.68
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	5	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.06	-4	-1	-3	23.4	15.9	7.48	17.5	15.3	2.15
Joel Anthony	12	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-4	3	14.6	16.6	-2.01	13.8	15.7	-1.90
Caron Butler	45	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-8	11	15.6	17.0	-1.44	16.1	14.9	1.13
Kyle Singler	52	53	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	6	-17	16.5	16.1	0.49	15.2	15.9	-0.64
Andre Drummond	61	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.35	-4	-1	-3	17.4	14.1	3.28	15.2	16.1	-0.96
Jodie Meeks	58	57	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.33	-6	1	-7	16.6	15.8	0.75	14.9	16.5	-1.62
D.J. Augustin	58	59	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.35	-8	3	-11	17.2	14.9	2.28	16.1	14.4	1.68
Greg Monroe	66	66	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.29	-12	7	-19	17.1	14.4	2.72	16.3	13.2	3.11

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	67	67	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.36	12	-7	19	15.8	14.5	1.30	16.8	15.1	1.64
CJ Miles	49	49	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.35	11	-6	17	15.2	15.9	-0.67	17.4	15.1	2.29
George Hill	47	47	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.27	13	-8	21	15.5	15.5	0.00	17.6	15.0	2.62
David West	58	57	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.36	6	-1	7	15.5	15.4	0.13	17.2	14.9	2.31
Rodney Stuckey	40	40	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	-4	13	16.0	15.1	0.87	16.8	15.9	0.88
Damjan Rudez	51	52	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.32	-2	7	-9	14.9	16.3	-1.35	15.6	17.3	-1.62
Ian Mahinmi	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	6	-7	16.7	15.4	1.38	16.7	16.3	0.46
Luis Scola	31	33	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.00	-3	8	-11	15.7	15.4	0.39	15.3	16.9	-1.56
CJ Watson	43	44	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.08	-8	13	-21	15.5	15.5	-0.00	15.0	17.6	-2.62
Solomon Hill	41	42	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.00	-6	11	-17	15.9	15.2	0.67	15.1	17.4	-2.29
Shayne Whittington	15	16	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.03	-6	11	-17	13.3	15.9	-2.59	14.3	16.8	-2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.74,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 87, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.88,0.87,0.76,0.6,0.74,0.78,0.94,0.91,1	92.3%
PHI 89, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.54,0.54,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.98,1	92.1%
CLE 109, OKC 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.96,1,1,1	92.0%