NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	87		Excitement	6.4 [425]		MVP	Trevor Ariza (NOH): +9.7%
Detroit Pistons	89		Comeback	1.5 [547]		LVP	Greivis Vasquez (NOH): -13.2%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.12,0.1	0.15	-0.01	0.04	12	87%	0.26	4	-0.17	6	100%	0.04
Gustavo Ayon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.07	-0.00	3	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carldell Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.03	0.02	9	54%	0.09	3	-0.14	8	75%	0.02
DaJuan Summers	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.06	10	40%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	12	54%	0.01	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	10	55%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.06	0.01	7	62%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Greg Monroe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	17	63%	0.16	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	13	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Walker Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	9	43%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	5	33%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	14	39%	-0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	24.4	17.4	25.5	2.8	37.5	134.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +12.9%

NOH -6.1%

DET +24.5%

DET +14.9%

DET +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	DET	NBA	NOH	DET	NBA
this game	15.3	17.8	15.6	98.9	103.5	102.8
season	16.3	16.3		99.2	99.5
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.4	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.3	15.0	16.5	13.7	15.3
DET	16.4	19.6	18.7	16.9	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	59	56	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.01	4	-6	10	16.0	13.9	2.12	18.5	16.6	1.92
Carldell Johnson	27	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-2	2	15.9	15.0	0.88	17.9	17.8	0.16
DaJuan Summers	14	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.13	-9	7	-16	17.1	15.0	2.17	16.7	18.0	-1.31
Al-Farouq Aminu	53	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.47	11	-13	24	14.5	16.5	-2.03	18.2	17.3	0.91
Gustavo Ayon	23	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-2	2	14.3	15.7	-1.31	19.1	17.3	1.84
Marco Belinelli	33	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-2	2	13.3	16.5	-3.18	16.7	18.5	-1.74
Carl Landry	30	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.09	-12	10	-22	16.6	14.7	1.94	17.3	18.1	-0.78
Greivis Vasquez	68	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.42	1	-3	4	15.2	15.6	-0.36	17.8	17.7	0.08
Emeka Okafor	56	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.51	3	-5	8	15.1	15.7	-0.58	18.1	17.4	0.67
Trevor Ariza	77	76	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.50	-8	6	-14	15.7	12.9	2.75	17.3	21.9	-4.62

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Monroe	68	68	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-4	10	17.4	19.3	-1.85	15.7	14.1	1.51
Rodney Stuckey	68	70	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.46	2	0	2	17.6	18.8	-1.22	15.4	14.9	0.54
Walker Russell	58	61	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.29	4	-2	6	17.6	18.2	-0.65	15.2	15.7	-0.50
Tayshaun Prince	63	65	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	2	-2	17.4	19.0	-1.68	15.5	14.9	0.55
Jason Maxiell	57	59	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.20	1	1	0	18.4	16.7	1.75	15.9	14.1	1.86
Jonas Jerebko	32	33	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	3	-4	19.1	17.1	1.99	14.5	15.8	-1.28
Austin Daye	37	38	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.18	-2	4	-6	17.8	17.9	-0.10	14.1	16.3	-2.18
Damien Wilkins	25	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	6	-10	19.0	17.3	1.67	14.9	15.5	-0.55
Brandon Knight	11	10	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	-1	4	14.4	18.3	-3.96	16.8	15.1	1.67
Ben Wallace	11	12	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	1	0	19.7	17.5	2.19	15.4	15.3	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.88,0.87,0.76,0.6,0.74,0.78,0.94,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 63, CLE 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.95,0.99,1	93.2%
IND 94, MIN 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.83,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.91,1	93.1%
CLE 109, OKC 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.96,1,1,1	92.9%