NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	108		Excitement	4.6 [903]		MVP	Avery Bradley (BOS): +20.4%
New York Knicks	97		Comeback	1.0 [671]		LVP	Lou Amundson (NYK): -9.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.23	0.03	0.05	14	90%	0.22	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.07	-0.02	19	58%	0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	90%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	8	68%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Marcus Smart	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	54%	0.04	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
James Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	31%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Turner	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	5	36%	-0.00	5	-0.08	4	75%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	4	80%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	12	71%	0.14	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.01	0.05	11	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	23	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	44%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	61%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Cleanthony Early	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	28.5	16.4	23.6	2.5	29.4	129.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +20.8%

BOS +13.5%

BOS +3.4%

BOS +9.6%

BOS +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	15.9	16.3	15.1	120.0	109.0	104.2
season	14.3	16.1		103.1	98.5
opponent	15.0	15.4		108.3	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.9	17.0	15.8	16.8	15.9
NYK	20.4	16.4	14.2	14.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Smart	71	67	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.11	16	-5	21	15.5	17.5	-1.99	16.3	16.2	0.07
Avery Bradley	61	60	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	-2	15	15.5	16.8	-1.32	16.7	15.5	1.18
Jae Crowder	55	54	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.19	8	3	5	15.6	16.4	-0.77	15.8	17.0	-1.19
Jared Sullinger	67	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	4	3	16.5	14.3	2.20	16.4	15.9	0.56
Brandon Bass	57	57	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	4	3	14.9	17.6	-2.74	16.7	15.5	1.17
Marcus Thornton	27	27	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	7	-3	18.5	14.8	3.74	16.0	16.4	-0.40
Evan Turner	61	62	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	8	-5	15.7	16.4	-0.76	16.4	16.0	0.35
James Young	31	32	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	9	-7	16.8	15.4	1.33	15.9	16.5	-0.54
Tyler Zeller	20	21	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	16	-21	16.3	15.8	0.58	15.3	16.6	-1.30

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cleanthony Early	5	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-9	7	16.4	16.3	0.13	18.6	15.7	2.86
Quincy Acy	24	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-11	11	16.0	16.4	-0.33	16.7	15.6	1.07
Shane Larkin	29	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.10	-2	-9	7	15.7	16.5	-0.83	17.4	15.2	2.28
Tim Hardaway Jr.	44	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-8	5	15.2	17.4	-2.22	16.1	15.7	0.46
Langston Galloway	55	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-3	-5	17.0	15.2	1.79	15.3	16.8	-1.52
Jason Smith	59	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-5	-1	16.3	16.3	-0.03	14.5	18.7	-4.25
Lance Thomas	47	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-6	1	15.6	17.0	-1.41	16.5	15.3	1.23
Jose Calderon	57	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	-2	-7	16.5	15.9	0.54	15.4	16.8	-1.33
Carmelo Anthony	61	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-1	-9	16.6	15.6	0.93	15.3	17.2	-1.96
Lou Amundson	64	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	-1	-9	16.8	14.8	2.00	16.9	13.1	3.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.28,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 104, MIA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.32,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.21,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0	94.4%
MEM 104, MIN 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.33,0.23,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%
SAS 102, DAL 88	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%