NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	86		Excitement	4.4 [928]		MVP	Matt Bonner (SAS): +14.1%
San Antonio Spurs	95		Comeback	1.0 [1225]		LVP	Lance Stephenson (CHA): -21.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	12	65%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Noah Vonleh	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	17	45%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	13	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Hairston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	0.00	0.06	7	56%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Gary Neal	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	0.00	0.04	10	55%	0.01	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.16	-0.05	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.02	8	62%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	13	59%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.00	0.05	11	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	11	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	9	43%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	60%	0.05	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jeff Ayres	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	12	43%	0.01	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	24.6	15.3	24.6	2.4	27.2	119.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +25.9%

SAS +15.0%

SAS +6.1%

SAS +1.0%

SAS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	SAS	NBA	CHA	SAS	NBA
this game	15.8	14.9	15.1	91.5	101.1	104.2
season	15.6	15.4		98.9	106.9
opponent	14.9	15.1		101.1	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.0	16.0	14.5	16.6	15.8
SAS	15.3	13.3	14.3	16.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	48	48	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.03	2	-11	13	16.3	15.2	1.14	15.7	14.0	1.69
Brian Roberts	71	72	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.27	9	-18	27	15.4	16.9	-1.53	15.2	14.0	1.21
Al Jefferson	66	67	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.22	7	-16	23	15.9	15.3	0.62	15.2	14.0	1.19
Gerald Henderson	68	67	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.23	6	-15	21	15.6	16.2	-0.66	15.3	13.9	1.39
Cody Zeller	72	73	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.33	5	-14	19	15.3	17.2	-1.92	15.2	13.9	1.26
Noah Vonleh	17	17	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-1	-7	16.5	15.6	0.87	13.7	15.1	-1.44
PJ Hairston	19	19	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	7	-23	16.2	15.7	0.50	14.3	15.0	-0.71
Gary Neal	35	36	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.25	-9	0	-9	15.7	15.8	-0.11	14.4	15.2	-0.85
Lance Stephenson	41	40	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.02	-19	10	-29	15.9	15.6	0.30	13.4	15.9	-2.49
Jason Maxiell	33	31	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.04	-22	13	-35	16.0	15.6	0.38	14.1	15.3	-1.12

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	43	42	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.19	14	-5	19	13.6	15.9	-2.31	14.5	16.7	-2.18
Aron Baynes	41	39	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	1	7	14.2	15.4	-1.18	14.1	17.0	-2.91
Danny Green	53	53	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.13	18	-9	27	14.2	15.8	-1.59	15.8	15.6	0.21
Manu Ginobili	45	47	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-3	15	13.9	15.8	-1.82	15.9	15.7	0.19
Boris Diaw	34	35	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.10	15	-6	21	13.0	16.0	-3.00	15.3	16.0	-0.75
Cory Joseph	33	32	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	0	9	15.8	14.4	1.44	17.8	14.7	3.12
Matt Bonner	60	59	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.33	-6	15	-21	16.0	13.0	3.00	16.0	15.3	0.75
Tim Duncan	53	55	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	8	-7	15.4	14.2	1.18	17.0	14.1	2.91
Jeff Ayres	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	17	-25	17.8	14.7	3.15	9.0	16.1	-7.13
Reggie Williams	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	17	-25	17.8	14.7	3.15	9.0	16.1	-7.13
Kawhi Leonard	45	46	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	14	-19	15.2	14.6	0.57	15.6	15.9	-0.33
Tony Parker	51	52	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	14	-19	15.9	13.6	2.31	16.7	14.5	2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 102, HOU 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
LAC 95, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.82,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.9%
POR 94, ORL 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%