NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	85		Excitement	2.9 [1195]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +8.2%
San Antonio Spurs	99		Comeback	1.0 [1294]		LVP	Jordan Hill (LAL): -9.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.00	0.06	11	65%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	52%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	33%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	54%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Ed Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	0.00	0.05	12	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	8	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	0.00	0.02	12	38%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	75%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	14	53%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	12	56%	0.04	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	4	69%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	8	22%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	4	17%	-0.05	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.4	28.3	15.0	26.4	2.5	27.8	123.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +33.8%

SAS +1.6%

SAS +13.6%

SAS +1.4%

LAL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAS	NBA	LAL	SAS	NBA
this game	16.1	14.3	15.1	90.4	104.2	104.2
season	15.5	15.4		101.9	106.9
opponent	14.9	14.7		101.1	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.2	18.6	15.5	13.6	16.1
SAS	12.8	13.0	15.8	15.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Price	37	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-8	2	15.0	16.9	-1.85	15.0	13.9	1.11
Ryan Kelly	41	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-9	4	17.7	15.0	2.72	14.0	14.6	-0.60
Robert Sacre	50	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-10	6	17.1	15.1	1.95	14.2	14.5	-0.29
Ed Davis	44	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-9	4	15.0	17.2	-2.25	14.9	13.9	0.98
Wayne Ellington	53	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-8	2	17.1	14.9	2.21	14.2	14.5	-0.21
Jordan Hill	44	44	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.10	-12	-2	-10	16.5	15.8	0.75	14.1	14.5	-0.46
Nick Young	41	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-6	-2	14.9	17.1	-2.21	14.5	14.2	0.21
Wesley Johnson	53	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-5	-4	15.0	17.7	-2.72	14.6	14.0	0.60
Jordan Clarkson	57	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-6	-2	16.9	15.0	1.85	13.9	15.0	-1.11
Carlos Boozer	50	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	-7	0	15.9	16.4	-0.45	14.2	14.5	-0.23

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	68	67	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.01	16	-2	18	13.1	17.4	-4.24	16.9	14.4	2.50
Tony Parker	47	46	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	1	12	13.3	15.3	-2.01	17.1	15.2	1.84
Manu Ginobili	44	43	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	7	0	15.0	13.7	1.32	16.5	15.8	0.71
Tim Duncan	42	41	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	1	12	13.1	15.3	-2.14	17.0	15.5	1.55
Danny Green	55	54	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.07	11	3	8	14.7	13.8	0.97	16.4	15.9	0.48
Aron Baynes	34	34	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	10	-6	15.6	13.7	1.90	16.7	15.8	0.83
Tiago Splitter	36	36	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	6	2	14.1	14.5	-0.36	15.9	16.3	-0.33
Matt Bonner	39	37	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.13	2	12	-10	14.4	14.3	0.04	15.6	16.5	-0.87
Cory Joseph	35	34	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.09	2	12	-10	13.8	14.7	-0.90	16.6	15.9	0.69
Boris Diaw	39	39	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	13	-12	14.7	14.1	0.69	15.6	16.5	-0.96
Patty Mills	23	24	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	13	-12	16.9	13.5	3.34	13.3	17.1	-3.84
JaMychal Green	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	18.0	14.1	3.91	11.0	16.6	-5.56
Jeff Ayres	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	16.6	14.2	2.41	11.9	16.5	-4.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 89, GSW 110	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
CHI 94, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
CHA 84, NOP 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%