NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	92		Excitement	6.3 [550]		MVP	Eric Gordon (NOP): +11.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	84		Comeback	2.0 [863]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -13.8%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.05	0.03	13	71%	0.15	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	12	58%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	17	47%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Quincy Pondexter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Wolters	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Alexis Ajinca	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	23	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.00	8	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robbie Hummel	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	15	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	11	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	10	44%	0.03	3	-0.11	7	86%	0.03
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	12	52%	0.05	3	-0.13	3	67%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	16	37%	-0.08	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	26.2	15.5	24.3	2.5	33.6	128.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +49.0%

MIN -13.2%

MIN -0.4%

NOP +12.9%

NOP +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MIN	NBA	NOP	MIN	NBA
this game	15.6	15.7	15.1	101.1	90.3	104.2
season	15.8	15.0		106.3	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.2		110.5	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	17.4	14.3	16.0	14.8	15.6
MIN	16.9	16.2	14.7	15.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	80	80	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-3	14	15.7	14.8	0.87	15.8	15.5	0.30
Eric Gordon	65	66	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	-2	12	15.7	15.2	0.55	15.8	15.5	0.28
Tyreke Evans	66	66	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.20	10	-2	12	16.0	14.5	1.46	15.8	15.6	0.13
Quincy Pondexter	56	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	1	6	14.2	17.8	-3.60	15.9	15.5	0.42
Omer Asik	64	64	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.26	0	8	-8	15.8	15.1	0.67	15.3	16.7	-1.41
Alexis Ajinca	24	27	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	1	6	15.9	15.5	0.45	16.7	15.3	1.33
Dante Cunningham	65	67	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.26	-3	11	-14	16.3	13.9	2.38	15.3	16.7	-1.40
Nate Wolters	28	29	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	4	0	14.7	16.0	-1.31	15.8	15.7	0.11
Luke Babbitt	7	8	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	14	-20	14.6	15.7	-1.10	16.5	15.6	0.85

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robbie Hummel	61	61	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.17	3	-11	14	15.6	15.9	-0.28	16.2	14.3	1.96
Zach LaVine	28	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-8	8	15.6	15.8	-0.11	14.9	15.8	-0.92
Anthony Bennett	21	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	-1	-6	17.0	15.3	1.71	14.1	16.0	-1.93
Gorgui Dieng	67	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.24	-1	-7	6	15.5	16.3	-0.87	16.0	14.5	1.47
Nikola Pekovic	43	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-1	-6	16.0	15.5	0.48	15.0	16.0	-1.04
Thaddeus Young	59	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-5	2	15.1	16.9	-1.83	16.0	14.8	1.19
Chase Budinger	49	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	0	-8	15.7	15.7	-0.06	14.4	16.9	-2.51
Mo Williams	65	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.18	-8	0	-8	15.8	15.6	0.11	15.8	14.9	0.92
Andrew Wiggins	72	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.18	-9	1	-10	16.1	14.6	1.48	15.9	14.7	1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.4,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.27,0.32,0.14,0.29,0.18,0.14,0.03,0.07,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 101, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.3,0.16,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.02,0	94.2%
HOU 97, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.13,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.04,0	93.4%
PHI 114, HOU 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.03,0.07,0.11,0,0,0	93.4%