NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	107		Excitement	5.2 [777]		MVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): +29.4%
Chicago Bulls	99		Comeback	1.0 [897]		LVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): -7.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.29	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.27	0.05	0.03	10	104%	0.29	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Al Horford	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.08	-0.00	14	79%	0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	14	47%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	55%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	40%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	16	42%	-0.02	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	11	62%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	8	72%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	22	47%	0.08	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.02	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	18	54%	0.01	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.6	23.2	15.6	23.2	2.4	33.1	124.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +38.8%

CHI -1.2%

ATL +5.5%

ATL +6.3%

ATL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.8	15.0	15.1	115.1	105.3	104.2
season	14.9	15.5		106.7	105.4
opponent	15.2	15.4		102.5	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.3	16.8	15.2	15.9	15.8
CHI	15.3	15.1	14.8	14.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	69	70	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.16	16	-8	24	14.6	19.3	-4.77	15.3	14.2	1.13
Kyle Korver	71	74	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.08	14	-6	20	14.7	19.4	-4.73	15.2	14.2	0.97
Jeff Teague	70	70	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.19	5	3	2	16.1	14.9	1.23	15.0	14.9	0.13
DeMarre Carroll	62	61	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	5	-2	15.6	16.2	-0.55	15.2	14.7	0.48
Mike Scott	25	25	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	0	8	15.8	15.8	-0.05	15.2	14.9	0.26
Paul Millsap	68	69	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.23	0	8	-8	15.8	15.8	0.05	14.9	15.2	-0.26
Shelvin Mack	13	13	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.06	8	0	8	15.2	15.9	-0.66	15.6	14.9	0.70
Thabo Sefolosha	40	40	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.25	-3	11	-14	16.2	15.5	0.75	14.1	15.7	-1.59
Kent Bazemore	23	24	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	11	-14	18.4	14.9	3.45	15.0	15.0	0.04
Elton Brand	24	24	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.10	-8	16	-24	19.3	14.6	4.77	14.2	15.3	-1.13

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Mirotic	29	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-6	4	13.7	15.6	-1.86	17.0	15.2	1.73
Derrick Rose	72	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-11	14	14.7	16.0	-1.35	16.0	15.2	0.80
Kirk Hinrich	58	58	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-8	8	15.6	14.1	1.46	16.0	15.5	0.54
E'Twaun Moore	36	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	0	-8	15.1	14.9	0.16	16.2	15.6	0.65
Aaron Brooks	40	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-2	-4	14.5	15.4	-0.85	16.2	15.5	0.80
Pau Gasol	78	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-4	0	14.9	15.5	-0.59	15.3	18.1	-2.84
Jimmy Butler	76	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	5	-18	15.1	14.7	0.43	15.0	19.2	-4.14
Taj Gibson	81	80	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.24	-10	2	-12	15.6	11.5	4.03	15.8	15.5	0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.24,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 95, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.27,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0	95.0%
OKC 119, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.9%
MIN 95, CHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%